If
you are interested in obtaining any of the publications listed below,
Please
send you requests to:
The
Florida Consortium
Florida
State University
R.M
Johnson Building
Room
232
Tallahassee,
Florida 32306-2840
Phone:
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Email:
zierden@coaps.fsu.edu
List
of Publications, Abstracts and Reports, 1996-2000
The Florida
Consortium of Universities
(Florida State
University, University of Florida, University of Miami)
Last
Update: 14 July 2000
Peer-Reviewed
Publications
Cocke, S. and
T.E. LaRow. 2000. A Nested Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model for Climate Studies.
Monthly Weather Review (submitted).
Cocke, S., and
T.E. Larow. 2000. Seasonal Predictions using a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere
Regional Spectral Model. Monthly Weather Review (In Press).
Ferreyra, R.A.,
G.P. Podestá, C.D. Messina, D. Letson, J. Dardanelli, E.Guevara, and S. Meira.
2000. A linked-modeling framework to estimate maize production risk associated
with ENSO-related climate variability in Argentina. Accepted for publication in
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology.
Grondona, M.,
G.P. Podestá, M. Bidegain, M. Marino, and H. Hordij. 2000. A stochastic
precipitation generator conditioned on ENSO phase: A case study in Southeastern
South America. Journal of Climate 13: 2973–2986.
Hansen, J.W.
1999. Stochastic daily solar irradiance for biological modeling applications.
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 94, 53-63.
Hansen, J.W.,
Jones, J.W., Irmak, A., and Royce, F.S. In press. ENSO impacts on crop
production in the Southeast US. Impacts of Climate Variability on Agriculture.
ASA Special Publication, Amer. Soc. Agron., Madison, Wis.
Hansen, J.W.,
Jones, J.W., Kiker, C.F., & Hodges, A.H. 1999. El Niño-Southern Oscillation
impacts on winter vegetable production in Florida. Journal of Climate 12, 92-102.
Hansen, J.W.,
Hodges, A. and Jones, J.W. 1998. ENSO influences on agriculture in the
southeastern United States. Journal of Climate 11, 404-411.
Hansen, J.W.,
Irmak, A., and Jones, J.W. 1998 El Niño - Southern Oscillation influences on
Florida crop yields. Soil and Crop Science Society of Florida Proc. 57, 12-16.
Izaurralde, R.
C., N. J. Rosenberg, R. A. Brown, D. M. Legler, M. Tiscareno-Lopez, R.
Srinivasan, and R. D. Sands. 1999. Modeled effects of strong Los Niños on crop
productivity in North America, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 94,
259-268.
Jones, C. S.,
J. F. Shriver, and J. J. O'Brien. 1999. The Effects of El Niño on Rainfall and
Fire in Florida, The Florida Geographer, 30, 55-69.
Jones, J.W.,
J.W. Hansen, F.S. Royce, and C.D. Messina. (submitted). Potential benefits of
climate forecasting to agriculture. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment.
Llovet, I.,
and D. Letson. 1999. Condicionantes mentales y modelos mentales en la adopción
de información climática entre productores agropecuarios del norte de la
Provincia de Buenos Aires. [Mental
conditioning factors and mental models influencing the adoption of climate
information by farmers in the northern Province of Buenos Aires]. Cuadernos
del Programa Interdisciplinario de Estudios Agrarios, 9, 9-53. Facultad de
Ciencias económicas, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Messina, C.D.,
J.W. Hansen, and A.J. Hall. 1999. Land allocation conditioned on El
Niño-Southern Oscillation phases in the Pampas of Argentina. Agricultural Systems
60, 197-212.
Podestá, G.P.,
C. Messina, M. Grondona, and G. Magrin. 1999. Associations between grain crop
yields in Central-Eastern Argentina and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Journal
of Applied Meteorology 38:1488-1498.
Potgieter, A.
(submitted). Advances in application of climate prediction in agriculture.
Presented at the Third International Symposium on Systems Approaches for
Agricultural Development (SAAD-III), Lima, Peru, 8-10 November 1999. (To be
published in a refereed workshop proceeding)
Royce, F.S.,
J.W. Jones, and J.W. Hansen. (submitted). Model-based optimization of crop
management for climate forecast applications. Trans. ASAE.
Smith, S. R.,
and J.J. O'Brien. 2000. Regional Snowfall Distributions Associated with ENSO:
Implications for Seasonal Forecasting, Weather and Forecasting (submitted).
Smith, S.R.,
D.M. Legler, M.J. Remigio, and J.J. O'Brien. 2000. Comparison of 1997-1998 US
Temperature and Precipitation Anomalies to Historical ENSO Warm Phase
Conditions. Journal of Climate, 12, 3507-3515.
Verzone, K.V.,
M.A. Bourassa, S.D. Cocke, T.E. LaRow, and J.J. O'Brien. 2000. Double Ensemble Estimates of Precipitation
in the Southeastern United States for Extreme ENSO Events, Journal of Climate,
(submitted).
Non-Peer-Reviewed
Publications
Caudle, A.
1999. Potential applications of seasonal climate prediction to crop production
in Alabama, Georgia, and Florida: Report of farmer interviews. Florida
Consortium Working Paper.
Florida
Consortium of Universities. 1997. Associations between ENSO phases and
country-level yields of maize, wheat, and soybean in Argentina. In G.J. Berri
(ed), "Efectos de El Niño sobre la
variabilidad climática, agricultura y recursos hídricos en el Sudeste de
Sudamérica." Workshop and Conference on the 1997-98 El Niño: Impacts
and Potential Applications of Climate Prediction in Southeastern South America,
10-12 December 1997, Montevideo, Uruguay, pp. 38-39.
Grondona, M.,
G. Magrin, M.I. Travasso, R.C. Moschini, G.R. Rodriguez, C. Messina, D.R.
Boullon, G.P. Podestá, and J.W. Jones. 1997. Impacto del fenómeno El Niño sobre
la produccion de trigo y maíz en la Región Pampeana Argentina. In G.J. Berri (ed) Efectos de El Niño
sobre la variabilidad climática, agricultura y recursos hídricos en el Sudeste
de Sudamérica. Workshop and Conference on the 1997-98 El Niño: Impacts and
Potential Applications of Climate Prediction in Southeastern South America,
10-12 December 1997, Montevideo, Uruguay, pp. 13-18.
Hansen, J.W.
and J.W. Jones. In press. Scaling-up crop model applications for climate
prediction applications. Commissioned for the CLIMAG Geneva Workshop, WMO
Headquarters, Geneva, 27-30 September 1999.
Hildebrand, P.
and co-authors. 1999. Farmers' use of weather and climate forecasts and effects
on farmers of changes in Climate. Florida Consortium Working Paper.
Hildebrand, P.
(ed.). 1999. Potential use of long range climate forecasts by agricultural extension agents in Florida: A Sondeo
Report. Staff Paper SP 99-8. Food and Resource Economics Department,
University of Florida, Gainesville, FL. 25 pp.
Llovet, I. Al
mal tiempo, buenos datos [Against bad
weather, good data]. Clarín, November 11, 1998, Buenos Aires, Argentina
(general interest article published in one of the main Argentinean newspapers).
Magrin, G.O.,
M.O. Grondona, M.I. Travasso, D.R. Boullon, G.R. Rodriguez, and C.D. Messina.
1998. Impacto del fenomeno "El Niño sobre la produccion de cultivos en la
Region Pampeana [Impact of the "El Niño" phenomenon on crop
production in the Pampean Region]. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología
Agropecuaria, Castelar, Argentina. 19 pp.
Manton, M.J.,
P.S., Bindraban, S. Gadgil, G.L.. Hammer, J.W. Hansen,. and J.W. Jones. In
press. Implementation of a CLIMAG Demonstration Project. Presented at the
CLIMAG Geneva Workshop, WMO Headquarters, Geneva, 27-30 September 1999. In
press.
Messina, C.D.
1999. El Niño-Southern Oscillation y la productividad de los cultivos en la
zona Pampeana: evaluacion de estrategias para mitigar el riesgo climático [El
Niño-Southern Oscillation and crop productivity in thePampean Region:
Assessment of strategies to mitigate climatic risk]. MSc. Thesis. Facultad de
Agronomía, Univerisidad de Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Messina,
C.D., J.W. Jones, P. Gilreath, .D.
Letson.. 2000. Using Climate Forecasts to Improve Tomato Production in Florida:
Status Report, June 5th, 2000. Agricultural and Biological Engineering
Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL. 14 pp.
Messina, C.D.,
M.A. Vázquez, and F.H. Beinroth. 2000. Using Climate Forecasts to Improve
Tomato Production in Florida and Puerto Rico (Trip Report, March 6-9, 2000).
Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida,
Gainesville, FL. 12 pp.
O'Brien, J.J.,
D.F. Zierden, D. Legler, J.W. Hansen, J.W., Jones, A.G. Smajstrla, G.P.
Podestá, and D. Letson. 1999. El Niño, La Niña and Florida's Climate: Effects
on Agriculture and Forestry. The Florida Consortium (Florida State Univ., Univ.
of Florida and Univ. of Miami).
Podestá, G.P.
1999. Tracking El Niño for informed policymaking. IAI's current and future
contributions to El Niño research. Inter American Institute for Global Change
Research, 1997-98 Annual Report, Sao José dos Campos, Brazil.
Podestá, G.P.
2000. Tracking El Niño for informed policymaking – An IAI perspective.
Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research Newsletter Vol. 6, No.1,
January 2000, p. 4.
Podestá, G.P,
D. Letson, J. Jones, J. Hansen, J.J. O’Brien and D. Legler. 1999. Regional
Application of ENSO-based climate forecasts to agriculture in the Americas.
NOAA Economics and Human Dimensions Investigators Meeting, Tucson, Arizona,
26–28 July 1999. Available at
http://www.ogp.noaa.gov/mpe/csi/econhd/fy99/podesta99.htm.
Abstracts and
Presentations
Bidegain, M.
and G. P. Podestá. 2000. ENSO-related Climate Variability on Precipitation and
Temperature in Southeastern South America. Sixth International Conference on
Southern Hemisphere Meteorology. Santiago, Chile, March 2000.
Bidegain, M.,
and P. Krecl. 1999. Associations
between surface temperature anomalies over Southeastern South America
(Uruguay) and El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Global Change Symposium, 79th
Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, 10–15 January 1999,
Dallas, Texas, USA.
Bidegain, M.,
and P. Krecl. 1998. Comportamiento de la temperatura en el sudeste de
Sudamérica (Uruguay) asociado al fenómeno ENSO. VIII Congreso Brasileño y VIII
Congreso Ibero-Latinoamericano de Meteorología, 26-30 October 1998, Brasilia,
Brazil.
Grondona, M. C. Messina and G.P. Podestá. 1999. ENSO-related
climate variability in southeastern South America: statistical approaches to
agricultural risk assessment and management. Global Change Symposium, 79th
Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, 10–15 January 1999,
Dallas, Texas.
Hansen, J.W.,
and J.W. Jones. 1998. ENSO impacts on crop production in the Southeast US. In
1998 Agronomy Abstracts. Am. Soc. Agronomy, Madison, WI, USA. (Abstract of
invited oral presentation)
Hansen, J.W.,
J.W. Jones, and L. Goddard. 1998. Disaggregating climate model predictions for
crop simulation applications. In 1998 Agronomy Abstracts. Am. Soc. Agronomy,
Madison, WI, USA.
Hansen, J.W.,
J.W Jones,.G. Magrin, S.G. Meira, E.R. Guevara, M.I. Travasso, R.A. DÌaz, M.
Marino, H. Hordij, C. Harwell, and G. Podestá. 1996. ENSO effects on yields and
economic returns of wheat, corn, and soybean in Argentina. In Actas del VII
Congreso Argentino y VII Congreso Latinoamericano e Ibérico de MeteorologÌa.
Buenos Aires, Argentina, 2-6 September, 1996. pp. 89-90.
Irmak, A.,
J.W. Hansen,.and J.W. Jones. 1999. El Niño-Southern Oscillation influences on
Florida Crop Yields. In Graduate Student Forum 1999. Graduate Student Council,
University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA. p. 145.
Jones,
J. W. 2000. Reducing risk in
agricultural production using climate forecasts. Presented in the Amer. Assoc
of Engineering Societies Forum, United Nations, May 1, 2000. New York.
(Abstract).
Jones, J, W. 2000. Application of Crop Models in Climate Change and Climate Prediction Research. Presented at Symposium Climate Change and Agricultural Impacts, March 13-16, 2000. Cairo University. Cairo, Egypt.
Jones, J.W., J. W. Hansen, J. J. O’Brien, G. Podestá, F. Zazueta, and S. S. Jagtap. 2000. Agricultural Applications of Climate Predictions: Bridging the Gap between Research and its Application in the SE USA. IRI International Forum on Climate Prediction, Agriculture and Development, Palisades, New York, 26-28 April 2000.
Letson, D.
2000. Regional Application of ENSO Forecasts to Agriculture. Presentations at
meeting "Cambios Climáticos: Una Vison Integral", hosted by
Universidad de Talca, Chile, and sponsored by NOAA' s Office of the Chief
Scientist. Talca, Chile, January 25-26, 2000. Available at www.rsmas.miami.edu/divs/maf/people/dletson.html.
Letson, D., M.
Grondona, J. Hansen, G. Magrin, G. Parellada, G.P. Podestá, and F. Royce. 1998.
Vulnerability of agriculture in Argentina to ENSO-related climatic variability.
Presented at the XXI International Congress of Latin American Studies
Association, 24-26 September 1998, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Llovet, I., E.
Terreno, E. Gentile, and A. Barsky. Understanding use and perception of climate
information among farmers in the Pampean region, Argentina: A sociological
research. Global Change Symposium, 79th Annual Meeting of the American
Meteorological Society, 10–15 January 1999, Dallas, Texas, USA.
Messina, C.D.,
J.W. Hansen, A.J. Hall, G.Podestá and G.O. Magrin. 2000. Climate signals, crop
productivity and farm income in the Pampas of Argentina. Nowlin Chair Crop
Modeling Symposium, Michigan State University, Detroit, 10–11 November 2000.
Podestá, G.P.,
D. Letson, J. Jones, and J.J. O’Brien. 2001. Application of Seasonal Climate
Forecasts to Agriculture in the Southeastern US. Submitted to 81st
Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society.
Podestá, G.P.,
D. Letson, J. Jones, J.J. O’Brien, P. Hildebrandt and F. Zazueta. 2001. An
Operational Program for Applications of Climate Information: A Cooperative
Venture with Florida's Agricultural Extension System. Submitted to 81st
Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society.
Podestá, G.P.,
D. Letson, J. Jones, C. Messina, F. Royce, A. Ferreyra, J.J. O’Brien, D. Legler
and J. Hansen. 2000. Experiences in Application of ENSO-related Climate
Information in the Agricultural Sector of Argentina. IRI International Forum on
Climate Prediction, Agriculture and Development, Palisades, New York, 26-28
April 2000.
Podestá, G.P.,
J. Hansen, J. Jones, C. Kiker, T. LaRow, D. Legler, D. Letson, J.J. O'Brien,
F.Royce. 1999. An end-to-end framework for the effective application of
ENSO-related climate forecasts in the agricultural sector of Argentina. Global
Change Symposium, 79th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society,
10–15 January 1999, Dallas, Texas, USA.
Podestá, G.P.,
M. Marino, H. Hordij, and M. Bidegain. 1998. Presentación alternativa del
pronóstico regional de precipitación (An alternative presentation of regional
precipitation forecasts). Presented at the Taller sobre El Niño y sus Impactos
en el MERCOSUR: Respuestas Nacionales e Internacionales, 26–28 August 1998,
Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Podestá,
G.P. 1997. Applications of climate forecasts: An integral component of a
regional virtual center. IAI-NSF Workshop on a Regional Virtual Center for
Interannual Climate Variability and ENSO in the MERCOSUR region. April 16–18,
1997, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Royce, F.S.,
J.W. Jones, and J.W. Hansen. 1999. Optimization of Field Crop Management Using
Simulated Annealing: A Tool for Planning and Comparison.. Poster presented at the Third International
Symposium on Systems Approaches for Agricultural Development (SAAD-III). Lima,
Peru, November, 1999.
Royce, F.S.,
J.W. Hansen, J.W. Jones. 1998. Optimization of Agricultural Management using
Crop Models and Simulated Annealing..
Poster presented at American Society of
Agronomy Annual Meeting, Baltimore, October 1998.
Royce, F., S.
Meira and E. Guevara. 1998. Optimización de Manejo de Frijol Soja y Maíz
Utilizando Modelos de Simulación e
Información de Fase ENOS en Pergamino, Argentina. [Optimization of
Soybean and Maize Management using
Simulation Models and ENSO Phase Information at Pergamino, Argentina]. Paper
presented at the 11th Scientific
Seminar, National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, San José de las Lajas,
Cuba, November, 1998.
Royce, F.S.
2000. A comparative assessment of agricultural uses of ENSO-
based climate forecasts in the Americas: Comparisons. IAI-ISP III Workshop on
Application of Climate Forecasts in Agriculture: Methods, Experiences and
Opportunities in Latin America, Lima, Perú, 16-17 May 2000.
Royce, F.S.
2000. Climate forecasts and Florida agriculture: Integrating research and
extension efforts. District II County Extension Directors Meeting, Gainesville,
Florida, 24 April 2000.
Royce, F.S.,
and D. Letson. 2000. Climate forecasts and Florida agriculture: Integrating
research and extension efforts. District IV County Extension Directors Meeting,
Lake Alfred, Florida, 13 January 2000.
Royce, F.S.,
D. Zierden, and D. Letson. 1999. Climate forecasts and Florida agriculture:
Integrating research and extension efforts. District I County Extension
Directors Meeting, Milton, Florida, 9 December 1999.
Messina, C.D.
El Niño-Southern Oscillation y la productividad de cultivos en la zona
pampeana: Evaluación de estrategias para mitigra el riesgo climático. M.S.
Thesis, School of Agronomy, University of Buenos Aires. 132 pp.
Florida Consortium Technical Reports
Hildebrand, P.
(editor). 1999. Potential use of long range climate forecasts by agricultural extension agents in Florida: A Sondeo
Report. Technical Report FC-UF-2000-001. Staff Paper SP 99-8. Food and
Resource Economics Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL. 25 pp.
Hildebrand, P.
and co-authors. 2000. Potential use of long range climate forecasts by livestock producers in North
Central Florida. Technical Report FC-UF-2000-002. Agricultural & Biological
Engineering Department, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville FL. 32611.
Royce, F. S.,
S. Meira, and J. W. Jones. 1997. Current perceptions and potential uses of
climate predictions by farmers of the humid Pampas. Technical Report
FC-UF-2000-003. Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University
of Florida, Gainesville, FL.
Jones, J.W.,
Hansen, J.W., Royce, F.S., and Messina, C.D. (submitted). Potential benefits of
climate forecasting to agriculture. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment.
Technical Report FC-UF-2000-004. Agricultural & biological Engineering
Department, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville FL. 32611.
Messina, C.D.
2000. Simulation of On-Farm research and use of Climate Forecasts in
Agriculture. Paper presented as partial fulfillment of the requirements for AGG
5813 Farming Systems Research and Extension. Technical Report FC-UF-2000-005,
Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida,
Gainesville, FL. 23 pp.
Jones, J.W.,
J. W. Hansen, J. J. O’Brien, G. Podestá, F. Zazueta, and S. S. Jagtap. (2000).
Agricultural Applications of Climate Predictions: Bridging the Gap between
Research and its Application in the SE USA. IRI International Forum on Climate
Prediction, Agriculture and Development, Palisades, New York, 26-28 April 2000.
Technical Report FC-UF-2000-006. Agricultural & biological Engineering
Department, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville FL. 32611.
Mavromatis, T.
and J. W. Hansen. 2000. Interannual variability characteristics and simulated
crop response of four stochastic weather generators. Paper prepared for publication
as journal article. Technical Report FC-UF-2000-007 Agricultural and Biological
Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL. 32 pp.
Zazueta, F.,
S.S. Jagtap, and J.W. Jones. 2000. The Florida Automated Weather Network: A New
Vision and Plan for Incorporating Climate Information. Technical Report
FC-UF-2000-008. Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University
of Florida, Gainesville, FL. 9 pp.
Letson, D., I.
Llovet, G. Podestá, F. Royce, V. Brescia, D. Lema, and G. Parellada. User
Perspectives of Climate Forecasts: Crop Producers in Pergamino, Argentina.
Technical Report FC-UM-2000-001.
Ferreyra,
R.A., G.P. Podestá, C.D. Messina, D. Letson, J. Dardanelli, E.Guevara, and S.
Meira. 2000. A linked-modeling framework to estimate maize production risk
associated with ENSO-related climate variability in Argentina. Technical Report
FC-UM-2000-002.