| Records |
Author  |
Fu, C.B.; Qian, C.; Wu, Z.H. |
| Title |
Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Science China Earth Sciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Sci. China Earth Sci. |
| Volume |
54 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
1400-1406 |
| Keywords |
decadal prediction; global warming; multi-decadal climate variability; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition; CMIP3 multi-model |
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| ISSN |
1674-7313 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
293 |
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| Author |
Liu, Q.; Tan, Z-M.; Sun, J.; Hou, Y.; Fu, C.; Wu, Z. |
| Title |
Changing rapid weather variability increases influenza epidemic risk in a warming climate |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2020 |
Publication |
Environmental Research Letters |
Abbreviated Journal |
Environmental Research Letters |
| Volume |
15 |
Issue |
4 |
Pages |
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| Abstract |
The continuing change of the Earth's climate is believed to affect the influenza viral activity and transmission in the coming decades. However, a consensus of the severity of the risk of influenza epidemic in a warming climate has not been reached. It was previously reported that the warmer winter can reduce influenza epidemic-caused mortality, but this relation cannot explain the deadly influenza epidemic in many countries over northern mid-latitudes in the winter of 2017-2018, one of the warmest winters in recent decades. Here we reveal that the widely spread 2017-2018 influenza epidemic can be attributed to the abnormally strong rapid weather variability. We demonstrate, from historical data, that the large rapid weather variability in autumn can precondition the deadly influenza epidemic in the subsequent months in highly populated northern mid-latitudes; and the influenza epidemic season of 2017-2018 was a typical case. We further show that climate model projections reach a consensus that the rapid weather variability in autumn will continue to strengthen in some regions of northern mid-latitudes in a warming climate, implying that the risk of influenza epidemic may increase 20% to 50% in some highly populated regions in later 21st century. |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ user @ |
Serial |
1070 |
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| Author |
Qian, C.; Fu, C.; Wu, Z. |
| Title |
Changes in the Amplitude of the Temperature Annual Cycle in China and Their Implication for Climate Change Research |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Journal of Climate |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Climate |
| Volume |
24 |
Issue |
20 |
Pages |
5292-5302 |
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0894-8755 |
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$loc['no'] |
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COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
287 |
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| Author |
Qian, C.; Fu, C.; Wu, Z.; Yan, Z. |
| Title |
The role of changes in the annual cycle in earlier onset of climatic spring in northern China |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Adv. Atmos. Sci. |
| Volume |
28 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
284-296 |
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spring onset; Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition; modulated annual cycle; Asian winter monsoon; global warming |
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0256-1530 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
309 |
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| Author |
Qian, C.; Fu, C.; Wu, Z.; Yan, Z. |
| Title |
On the secular change of spring onset at Stockholm |
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$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2009 |
Publication |
Geophysical Research Letters |
Abbreviated Journal |
Geophys. Res. Lett. |
| Volume |
36 |
Issue |
12 |
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0094-8276 |
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$loc['no'] |
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COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
389 |
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| Author |
Qian, C.; Wu, Z.; Fu, C.; Wang, D. |
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On Changing El Nino: A View from Time-Varying Annual Cycle, Interannual Variability, and Mean State |
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$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Journal of Climate |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Climate |
| Volume |
24 |
Issue |
24 |
Pages |
6486-6500 |
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0894-8755 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
283 |
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| Author |
Qian, C.; Wu, Z.; Fu, C.; Zhou, T. |
| Title |
On multi-timescale variability of temperature in China in modulated annual cycle reference frame |
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$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2010 |
Publication |
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Adv. Atmos. Sci. |
| Volume |
27 |
Issue |
5 |
Pages |
1169-1182 |
| Keywords |
modulated annual cycle; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition; climate anomaly; climate normal; variability of surface air temperature in China |
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0256-1530 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
355 |
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| Author |
Qian, C.; Yan, Z.; Wu, Z.; Fu, C.; Tu, K. |
| Title |
Trends in temperature extremes in association with weather-intraseasonal fluctuations in eastern China |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Adv. Atmos. Sci. |
| Volume |
28 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
297-309 |
| Keywords |
climate extremes; EEMD; weather-intraseasonal fluctuations; modulated annual cycle; global warming |
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0256-1530 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
310 |
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