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Author (up) Conlon, K.C.; Kintziger, K.W.; Jagger, M.; Stefanova, L.; Uejio, C.K.; Konrad, C.
Title Working with Climate Projections to Estimate Disease Burden: Perspectives from Public Health Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2016 Publication International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Abbreviated Journal Int J Environ Res Public Health
Volume 13 Issue 8 Pages
Keywords *Climate Change/statistics & numerical data; Florida; Forecasting; Humans; Models, Theoretical; Public Health/*trends; United States; adaptation; attributable fraction; climate modeling; project disease burden; public health
Abstract There is interest among agencies and public health practitioners in the United States (USA) to estimate the future burden of climate-related health outcomes. Calculating disease burden projections can be especially daunting, given the complexities of climate modeling and the multiple pathways by which climate influences public health. Interdisciplinary coordination between public health practitioners and climate scientists is necessary for scientifically derived estimates. We describe a unique partnership of state and regional climate scientists and public health practitioners assembled by the Florida Building Resilience Against Climate Effects (BRACE) program. We provide a background on climate modeling and projections that has been developed specifically for public health practitioners, describe methodologies for combining climate and health data to project disease burden, and demonstrate three examples of this process used in Florida.
Address Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3220, USA. konrad@unc.edu
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1660-4601 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding PMID:27517942; PMCID:PMC4997490 Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 73
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Author (up) Misra, V.; Mishra, A.
Title The oceanic influence on the rainy season of Peninsular Florida Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2016 Publication Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Abbreviated Journal J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.
Volume 121 Issue 13 Pages 7691-7709
Keywords rainy season; Florida Current
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 2169897X ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 45
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Author (up) Misra, V.; Mishra, A.; Bhardwaj, A.
Title A coupled ocean-atmosphere downscaled climate projection for the peninsular Florida region Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2019 Publication Journal of Marine Systems Abbreviated Journal Journal of Marine Systems
Volume 194 Issue Pages 25-40
Keywords Climate projection; Peninsular Florida; bathymetry; climate simulation; future
Abstract A downscaled projection over the Peninsular Florida (PF) region is conducted with a Regional Climate Model (RCM) at 10 km grid spacing that incorporates interactive coupling between the atmosphere and ocean components of the climate system. This is first such application of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model for climate projection over the PF region. The RCM is shown to display reasonable fidelity in simulating the mean current climate and exhibits higher variability both in the ocean and in the atmosphere than the large-scale global model (Community Climate System Model version 4 [CCSM4]), which is used to drive the RCM. There are several features of the regional climate that RCM displays as an improvement over CCSM4: upper ocean thermal stratification, surface eddy kinetic energy of the ocean, volume flux through the Yucatan Channel, and terrestrial rainfall over PF. The projected mean hydroclimatic change over the period 2041�2060 relative to 1986�2005 over PF shows significant difference between RCM and CCSM4, with the RCM becoming significantly drier and CCSM4 moderately wetter. Furthermore, over the ocean surface, especially over the West Florida Shelf (WFS), RCM displays a wetter and a warmer surface climate compared to the CCSM4 simulation.

Our analysis of the model output indicates that improved resolution of ocean bathymetry in the RCM plays a significant role in the response of the projected changes in surface heat flux, clouds, upper ocean circulations and upper ocean stratification, which manifests with some of the largest differences from the CCSM4 projections, especially over the shallower parts of the ocean around PF. This contrast is most apparent between WFS and PF in the RCM simulation, which suggests that a future warm climate would likely produce more rain over WFS at the expense of corresponding reduction over PF, contrary to the absence of any such gradient in the CCSM4 simulation. Furthermore, in the RCM simulation, the warming of the sub-surface ocean in the future climate is owed to the combined influence of excess atmospheric heat flux directed towards the ocean from the atmosphere and the advective heat flux convergence with the relative slowing of the Loop Current in the future climate. The study demonstrates that such RCMs with coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions are necessary to downscale the global climate models to project the surface hydro-climate over regions like PF that have mesoscale features in the ocean, which can influence the terrestrial climate.
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0924-7963 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ user @ Serial 1003
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Author (up) Morey, S.; Koch, M.; Liu, Y.; Lee, S. -K.
Title Florida's oceans and marine habitats in a changing climate Type $loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year 2017 Publication Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 391-425
Keywords Ocean climate; Sea level rise; Florida climate; Gulf of Mexico; AMOC; Caribbean climate; Florida hydrology; Florida reefs; Global warming
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Florida Climate Institute Place of Publication Gainesville, FL Editor Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 848
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Author (up) Morey, S.L.
Title The spring transition from horizontal to vertical thermal stratification on a midlatitude continental shelf Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2002 Publication Journal of Geophysical Research Abbreviated Journal J. Geophys. Res.
Volume 107 Issue C8 Pages
Keywords continental shelf; stratification; Mixed Layer Dynamics; Coastal Ocean Modeling; West Florida Shelf
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0148-0227 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 493
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Author (up) Morey, S.L.; Dukhovskoy, D.S.; Bourassa, M.A.
Title Connectivity of the Apalachicola River flow variability and the physical and bio-optical oceanic properties of the northern West Florida Shelf Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2009 Publication Continental Shelf Research Abbreviated Journal Continental Shelf Research
Volume 29 Issue 9 Pages 1264-1275
Keywords River plumes; Climate variability; Ocean color; West Florida Shelf; Apalachicola River
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0278-4343 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding NASA, OVWST Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 393
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Author (up) Rudzin, J.E.; Morey, S.L.; Bourassa, M.A.; Smith, S.R.
Title The Influence of Loop Current Position on Winter Sea Surface Temperatures in the Florida Straits Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2013 Publication Earth Interactions Abbreviated Journal Earth Interact.
Volume 17 Issue 16 Pages 1-9
Keywords Air-sea interaction; Florida Straits; Loop Current; Sea surface temperature; CAO; Atlantic sailfish
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1087-3562 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding OVWST Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 182
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Author (up) Swearingen, A. D.
Title Examining Shifts in Warm-Season Near-Surface Moisture Trends in Florida Type $loc['typeManuscript']
Year 2015 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords Florida; Surface dew points; Atmospheric moisture
Abstract
Address Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science
Corporate Author Thesis $loc['Bachelor's thesis']
Publisher Florida State University Place of Publication Tallahassee, FL Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 115
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Author (up) Todd, A.C.; Morey, S.L.; Chassignet, E.P.
Title Circulation and cross-shelf transport in the Florida Big Bend Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2014 Publication Journal of Marine Research Abbreviated Journal J Mar Res
Volume 72 Issue 6 Pages 445-475
Keywords Coastal circulation; ocean modeling; larval transport; gag grouper; Florida Big Bend
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0022-2402 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding BP/Deep-C, NOAA NGI, NASA/JPL/OVWST, ONR Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 148
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Author (up) Wdowinski, S.; Bray, R.; Kirtman, B.P.; Wu, Z.
Title Increasing flooding hazard in coastal communities due to rising sea level: Case study of Miami Beach, Florida Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2016 Publication Ocean & Coastal Management Abbreviated Journal Ocean & Coastal Management
Volume 126 Issue Pages 1-8
Keywords Sea level rise; Flooding hazard; Tide gauge record; EEMD; Southeast Florida
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0964-5691 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 56
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