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Author Bastola, S.; Misra, V.
Title Seasonal hydrological and nutrient loading forecasts for watersheds over the Southeastern United States Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2015 Publication Environmental Modelling & Software Abbreviated Journal Environmental Modelling & Software
Volume 73 Issue Pages 90-102
Keywords Rainfall-runoff model; Seasonal hydrologic forecasting; Southeastern United States; Water quality; Seasonal predictability
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1364-8152 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 95
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Author Conlon, K.C.; Kintziger, K.W.; Jagger, M.; Stefanova, L.; Uejio, C.K.; Konrad, C.
Title Working with Climate Projections to Estimate Disease Burden: Perspectives from Public Health Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2016 Publication International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health Abbreviated Journal Int J Environ Res Public Health
Volume 13 Issue 8 Pages
Keywords *Climate Change/statistics & numerical data; Florida; Forecasting; Humans; Models, Theoretical; Public Health/*trends; United States; adaptation; attributable fraction; climate modeling; project disease burden; public health
Abstract There is interest among agencies and public health practitioners in the United States (USA) to estimate the future burden of climate-related health outcomes. Calculating disease burden projections can be especially daunting, given the complexities of climate modeling and the multiple pathways by which climate influences public health. Interdisciplinary coordination between public health practitioners and climate scientists is necessary for scientifically derived estimates. We describe a unique partnership of state and regional climate scientists and public health practitioners assembled by the Florida Building Resilience Against Climate Effects (BRACE) program. We provide a background on climate modeling and projections that has been developed specifically for public health practitioners, describe methodologies for combining climate and health data to project disease burden, and demonstrate three examples of this process used in Florida.
Address Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3220, USA. konrad@unc.edu
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1660-4601 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding PMID:27517942; PMCID:PMC4997490 Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 73
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Author Devanas, A.; Stefanova, L.
Title Statistical Prediction Of Waterspout Probability For The Florida Keys Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2018 Publication Weather and Forecasting Abbreviated Journal Wea. Forecasting
Volume 33 Issue Pages 389-410
Keywords Regression analysis; Forecast verification/skill; Forecasting techniques; Probability forecasts/models/distribution; Statistical forecasting
Abstract A statistical model of waterspout probability was developed for wet-season (June–September) days over the Florida Keys. An analysis was performed on over 200 separate variables derived from Key West 1200 UTC daily wet-season soundings during the period 2006–14. These variables were separated into two subsets: days on which a waterspout was reported anywhere in the Florida Keys coastal waters and days on which no waterspouts were reported. Days on which waterspouts were reported were determined from the National Weather Service (NWS) Key West local storm reports. The sounding at Key West was used for this analysis since it was assumed to be representative of the atmospheric environment over the area evaluated in this study. The probability of a waterspout report day was modeled using multiple logistic regression with selected predictors obtained from the sounding variables. The final model containing eight separate variables was validated using repeated fivefold cross validation, and its performance was compared to that of an existing waterspout index used as a benchmark. The performance of the model was further validated in forecast mode using an independent verification wet-season dataset from 2015–16 that was not used to define or train the model. The eight-predictor model was found to produce a probability forecast with robust skill relative to climatology and superior to the benchmark waterspout index in both the cross validation and in the independent verification.
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0882-8156 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 553
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Author Keclik, A.
Title The Accuracy of the National Hurricane Center's United States Tropical Cyclone Landfall Forecasts in the Atlantic Basin (2004-2012) Type $loc['typeManuscript']
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords hurricane; forecasting; landfall
Abstract
Address Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science
Corporate Author Thesis $loc['Bachelor's thesis']
Publisher Florida State University Place of Publication Tallahassee, FL Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 163
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Author Michael, J.-P.
Title On Initializing CGCMs for Seasonal Predictability of ENSO Type $loc['typeManuscript']
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords ENSO; Seasonal Forecasting
Abstract
Address Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science
Corporate Author Thesis $loc['Ph.D. thesis']
Publisher Florida State University Place of Publication Tallahassee, FL Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 166
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Author Nielsen, E.R.; Schumacher, R.S.; Keclik, A.M.
Title The Effect of the Balcones Escarpment on Three Cases of Extreme Precipitation in Central Texas Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2016 Publication Monthly Weather Review Abbreviated Journal Mon. Wea. Rev.
Volume 144 Issue 1 Pages 119-138
Keywords Circulation/ Dynamics; Orographic effects; Atm/Ocean Structure/ Phenomena; Flood events; Physical Meteorology and Climatology; Hydrometeorology; Forecasting; Ensembles; Numerical weather prediction/forecasting
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0027-0644 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 102
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Author Shin, D.W.
Title Short- to medium-range superensemble precipitation forecasts using satellite products: 1. Deterministic forecasting Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2003 Publication Journal of Geophysical Research Abbreviated Journal J. Geophys. Res.
Volume 108 Issue D8 Pages
Keywords precipitation forecasting; superensemble; TRMM; ensemble forecasting
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0148-0227 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 845
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Author Shin, D.W.
Title Short- to medium-range superensemble precipitation forecasts using satellite products: 2. Probabilistic forecasting Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2003 Publication Journal of Geophysical Research Abbreviated Journal J. Geophys. Res.
Volume 108 Issue D8 Pages
Keywords precipitation forecasting; superensemble; TRMM; POP; ensemble forecasting
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0148-0227 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 846
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Yatagai, A.; Krishnamurti, T.N.; Kumar, V.; Mishra, A.K.; Simon, A.
Title Use of APHRODITE Rain Gauge-Based Precipitation and TRMM 3B43 Products for Improving Asian Monsoon Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts by the Superensemble Method Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2014 Publication Journal of Climate Abbreviated Journal J. Climate
Volume 27 Issue 3 Pages 1062-1069
Keywords Monsoons; Precipitation; Databases; Superensembles; Climate prediction; Statistical forecasting
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0894-8755 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 171
Permanent link to this record

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