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Author Venugopal, T. ; Ali, M.M. ; Bourassa, M.A. ; Zheng, Y. ; Goni, G.J. ; Foltz, G.R. ; Rajeevan, M.
Title Statistical Evidence for the Role of Southwestern Indian Ocean Heat Content in the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2018 Publication SCIENTIFIC REPORTS Abbreviated Journal Sci Rep
Volume 8
Issue 1
Pages 12092
Keywords SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; EL-NINO ; EQUATORIAL PACIFIC ; IMPACT ; PREDICTION ; ENSO ; DIPOLE ; REGION ; SST
Abstract This study examines the benefit of using Ocean Mean Temperature (OMT) to aid in the prediction of the sign of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) anomalies. This is a statistical examination, rather than a process study. The thermal energy needed for maintaining and intensifying hurricanes and monsoons comes from the upper ocean, not just from the thin layer represented by sea surface temperature (SST) alone. Here, we show that the southwestern Indian OMT down to the depth of the 26 degrees C isotherm during January-March is a better qualitative predictor of the ISMR than SST. The success rate in predicting above- or below-average ISMR is 80% for OMT compared to 60% for SST. Other January-March mean climate indices (e.g., NINO3.4, Indian Ocean Dipole Mode Index, El Nino Southern Oscillation Modoki Index) have less predictability (52%, 48%, and 56%, respectively) than OMT percentage deviation (PD) (80%). Thus, OMT PD in the southwestern Indian Ocean provides a better qualitative prediction of ISMR by the end of March and indicates whether the ISMR will be above or below the climatological mean value.
Address Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India, New Delhi, India
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English
Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 2045-2322
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding strtoupper('3').strtolower('0108244'); strtoupper('P').strtolower('MC6092415')
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ user @
Serial 972
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Author Todd, A., D. Dukhovskoy, M. Griffin
Title Effectiveness of the Keetch-Byram Drought Index toward the estimation of fires in Florida Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2009 Publication Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages submitted
Keywords KBDI, wildland fire, fire prediction, statistical models
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding USDA
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 677
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Author Misra, V. ; Marx, L.
Title The coupled seasonal hindcasts of the South American monsoon Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2009 Publication International Journal of Climatology Abbreviated Journal Int. J. Climatol.
Volume 29
Issue 8
Pages 1101-1115
Keywords South American monsoon ; ENSO ; prediction
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0899-8418
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 654
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Author Nielsen, E.R. ; Schumacher, R.S. ; Keclik, A.M.
Title The Effect of the Balcones Escarpment on Three Cases of Extreme Precipitation in Central Texas Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2016 Publication Monthly Weather Review Abbreviated Journal Mon. Wea. Rev.
Volume 144
Issue 1
Pages 119-138
Keywords Circulation/ Dynamics ; Orographic effects ; Atm/Ocean Structure/ Phenomena ; Flood events ; Physical Meteorology and Climatology ; Hydrometeorology ; Forecasting ; Ensembles ; Numerical weather prediction/forecasting
Abstract
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0027-0644
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 102
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Author Yin, J. ; Griffies, S.M. ; Stouffer, R.J.
Title Spatial Variability of Sea Level Rise in Twenty-First Century Projections Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2010 Publication Journal of Climate Abbreviated Journal J. Climate
Volume 23
Issue 17
Pages 4585-4607
Keywords Sea level ; Climate prediction
Abstract
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0894-8755
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 369
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Author Bastola, S. ; Misra, V. ; Li, H.
Title Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for Watersheds over the Southeastern United States for the Boreal Summer and Fall Seasons Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2013 Publication Earth Interactions Abbreviated Journal Earth Interact.
Volume 17
Issue 25
Pages 1-22
Keywords Seasonal climate forecast ; Ensemble streamflow prediction ; Rainfall–runoff model
Abstract
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1087-3562
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 207
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Author Yatagai, A. ; Krishnamurti, T.N. ; Kumar, V. ; Mishra, A.K. ; Simon, A.
Title Use of APHRODITE Rain Gauge-Based Precipitation and TRMM 3B43 Products for Improving Asian Monsoon Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts by the Superensemble Method Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2014 Publication Journal of Climate Abbreviated Journal J. Climate
Volume 27
Issue 3
Pages 1062-1069
Keywords Monsoons ; Precipitation ; Databases ; Superensembles ; Climate prediction ; Statistical forecasting
Abstract
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0894-8755
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 171
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Author Lim, Y.-K. ; Cocke, S. ; Shin, D.W. ; Schoof, J.T. ; LaRow, T.E. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title Downscaling large-scale NCEP CFS to resolve fine-scale seasonal precipitation and extremes for the crop growing seasons over the southeastern United States Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2010 Publication Climate Dynamics Abbreviated Journal Clim Dyn
Volume 35
Issue 2-3
Pages 449-471
Keywords Downscaling ; Precipitation ; Regional climate ; Prediction ; Extremes
Abstract
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0930-7575
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 364
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Author Fu, C.B. ; Qian, C. ; Wu, Z.H.
Title Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2011 Publication Science China Earth Sciences Abbreviated Journal Sci. China Earth Sci.
Volume 54
Issue 9
Pages 1400-1406
Keywords decadal prediction ; global warming ; multi-decadal climate variability ; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ; CMIP3 multi-model
Abstract
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1674-7313
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 293
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Author Hong, S.-Y. ; Park, H. ; Cheong, H.-B. ; Kim, J.-E.E. ; Koo, M.-S. ; Jang, J. ; Ham, S. ; Hwang, S.-O. ; Park, B.-K. ; Chang, E.-C. ; Li, H.
Title The Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs) Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2013 Publication Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences Abbreviated Journal Asia-Pacific J Atmos Sci
Volume 49
Issue 2
Pages 219-243
Keywords Numerical weather prediction ; seasonal prediction ; general circulation model ; regional climate modeling ; physics ; parameterization ; climate modeling ; GRIMs ; WRF
Abstract
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1976-7633
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 215
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