Records |
Author |
Williams, M |
Title |
Characterizing Multi-Decadal Temperature Variability in the Southeastern United States |
Type |
$loc['typeManuscript'] |
Year |
2010 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
Meteorology, Climate Variability, Climate, Warm Regime, Cold Regim |
Abstract |
Prior studies of the long-term temperature record in the Southeastern United States (SE US) mostly discuss the long-term cooling trend, and the inter-annual variability produced by the region's strong ties to El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). An examination of long-term temperature records in the SE US show clear multi-decadal variations in temperature, with relative warm periods in the 1920's through the mid 1950's and a cool period in the late 1950's through the late 1990's. This substantial shift in multi-decadal variability is not well understood and has not been fully investigated. It appears to account for the long-term downward trend in temperatures. An accurate characterization of this variability could lead to improved interannual and long-term forecasts, which would be useful for agricultural planning, drought mitigation, water management, and preparation for extreme temperature events. Statistical methods are employed to determine the spatial coherence of the observed variability on seasonal time scales. The goal of this study is to characterize the nature of this variability through the analysis of National Weather Service Cooperative Observer Program (COOP) station data in Florida, Georgia, Alabama, North Carolina, and South Carolina. One finding is a shift in the temperature Probability Distribution Function (PDF) between warm regimes and cool regimes. |
Address |
Department of Earth Ocean and Atmospheric Science |
Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
$loc['Master's thesis'] |
Publisher |
Florida State University |
Place of Publication |
Tallahassee, FL |
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Approved |
$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
578 |
Permanent link to this record |
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Author |
Smith, R. A. |
Title |
Trends in Maximum and Minimum Temperature Deciles in Select Regions of the United States |
Type |
$loc['typeManuscript'] |
Year |
2007 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
Long term temperature trends, Climate change, Statistical analysis, Climatology |
Abstract |
Daily maximum and minimum temperature data from 758 COOP stations in nineteen states are used to create temperature decile maps. All stations used contain records from 1948 through 2004 and could not be missing more than 5 consecutive years of data. Missing data are replaced using a multiple linear regression technique from surrounding stations. For each station, the maximum and minimum temperatures are first sorted in ascending order for every two years (to reduce annual variability) and divided into ten equal parts (or deciles). The first decile represents the coldest temperatures, and the last decile contains the warmest temperatures. Patterns and trends in these deciles can be examined for the 57-year period. A linear least-squares regression method is used to calculate best-fit lines for each decile to determine the long-term trends at each station. Significant warming or cooling is determined using the Student's t-test, and bootstrapping the decile data will further examine the validity of significance. Two stations are closely examined. Apalachicola, Florida shows significant warming in its maximum deciles and significant cooling in its minimum deciles. The maximum deciles seem to be affected by some localized change. The minimum deciles are discontinuous, and the trends are a result of a minor station move. Columbus, Georgia has experienced significant warming in its minimum deciles, and this appears to be the result of an urban heat-island effect. The discontinuities seen in the Apalachicola case study illustrate the need for a quality control method. This method will eliminate stations from the regional analysis that experience large changes in the ten-year standard deviations within their time series. The regional analysis shows that most of the region is dominated by significant cooling in the maximum deciles and significant warming in the minimum deciles, with more variability in the lower deciles. Field significance testing is performed on subregions (based on USGS 2000 land cover data) and supports the findings from the regional analysis; it also isolates regions, such as the Florida peninsula and the Maryland/Delaware region, that appear to be affected by more local forcings. |
Address |
Department of Meteorology |
Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
$loc['Master's thesis'] |
Publisher |
Florida State University |
Place of Publication |
Tallahassee, FL |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
612 |
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Author |
Morey, S.; Koch, M.; Liu, Y.; Lee, S. -K. |
Title |
Florida's oceans and marine habitats in a changing climate |
Type |
$loc['typeBook Chapter'] |
Year |
2017 |
Publication |
Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts |
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Issue |
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Pages |
391-425 |
Keywords |
Ocean climate; Sea level rise; Florida climate; Gulf of Mexico; AMOC; Caribbean climate; Florida hydrology; Florida reefs; Global warming |
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Publisher |
Florida Climate Institute |
Place of Publication |
Gainesville, FL |
Editor |
Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J. |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
848 |
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Author |
Karmel, T. |
Title |
Using multiple methodologies to explore variation in rainfall events in the southeastern United States |
Type |
$loc['typeManuscript'] |
Year |
2016 |
Publication |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
Climate; rainfall; variation; percentiles; southeast; united states; assessment |
Abstract |
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Address |
Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences |
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Thesis |
$loc['Bachelor's thesis'] |
Publisher |
Florida State University |
Place of Publication |
Tallahassee, FL |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
81 |
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Author |
Wallcraft, A.J.; Kara, A.B.; Hurlburt, H.E.; Chassignet, E.P.; Halliwell, G.H. |
Title |
Value of bulk heat flux parameterizations for ocean SST prediction |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2008 |
Publication |
Journal of Marine Systems |
Abbreviated Journal |
Journal of Marine Systems |
Volume |
74 |
Issue |
1-2 |
Pages |
241-258 |
Keywords |
Bulk heat fluxes; Ocean model SST; Exchange coefficients; Atmospheric forcing; Climate |
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ISSN |
0924-7963 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
405 |
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Author |
Jagtap, S.S.; Jones, J.W.; Hildebrand, P.; Letson, D.; O'Brien, J.J.; Podestá, G.; Zierden, D.; Zazueta, F. |
Title |
Responding to stakeholder's demands for climate information: from research to applications in Florida |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2002 |
Publication |
Agricultural Systems |
Abbreviated Journal |
Agricultural Systems |
Volume |
74 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
415-430 |
Keywords |
ENSO; El Niño; Climate prediction; Agricultural decisions; Research framework |
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ISSN |
0308521X |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
824 |
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Author |
Podestá, G.; Letson, D.; Messina, C.; Royce, F.; Ferreyra, R.A.; Jones, J.; Hansen, J.; Llovet, I.; Grondona, M.; O'Brien, J.J. |
Title |
Use of ENSO-related climate information in agricultural decision making in Argentina: a pilot experience |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2002 |
Publication |
Agricultural Systems |
Abbreviated Journal |
Agricultural Systems |
Volume |
74 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
371-392 |
Keywords |
El Nino-Southern Oscillation; argentine pampas; climate forecasts; climate-adaptive management; linked modeling |
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0308521X |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
491 |
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Author |
Morey, S.L.; Dukhovskoy, D.S.; Bourassa, M.A. |
Title |
Connectivity of the Apalachicola River flow variability and the physical and bio-optical oceanic properties of the northern West Florida Shelf |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2009 |
Publication |
Continental Shelf Research |
Abbreviated Journal |
Continental Shelf Research |
Volume |
29 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
1264-1275 |
Keywords |
River plumes; Climate variability; Ocean color; West Florida Shelf; Apalachicola River |
Abstract |
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ISSN |
0278-4343 |
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Funding |
NASA, OVWST |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
393 |
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Author |
Sura, P. |
Title |
A general perspective of extreme events in weather and climate |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Atmospheric Research |
Abbreviated Journal |
Atmospheric Research |
Volume |
101 |
Issue |
1-2 |
Pages |
1-21 |
Keywords |
Weather and climate extremes; Stochastic modeling; Weather and climate statistics |
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ISSN |
0169-8095 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
302 |
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Author |
Fraisse, C.W.; Breuer, N.E.; Zierden, D.; Bellow, J.G.; Paz, J.; Cabrera, V.E.; Garcia y Garcia, A.; Ingram, K.T.; Hatch, U.; Hoogenboom, G.; Jones, J.W.; O'Brien, J.J. |
Title |
AgClimate: A climate forecast information system for agricultural risk management in the southeastern USA |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2006 |
Publication |
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture |
Abbreviated Journal |
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture |
Volume |
53 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
13-27 |
Keywords |
crop models climate variability; decision making; ENSO; El Nino; extension |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0168-1699 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
434 |
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