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Author Cintra, R. ; Campos Velho, H. ; Cocke, S.
Title Multilayer Perceptron on data assimilation system applied to FSU global model Type $loc['typeConference Article']
Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords data assimilation ; artificial neural networks ; numerical weather prediction ; inverse problem
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
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ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference 3rd International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modeling Maresias, Brazil: 15/2/2016 to 19/2/2016
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 88
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Author Kirtman, B. P. ; Misra, V. ; Anandhi, A. ; Palko, D. ; Infanti, J.
Title Future Climate Change Scenarios for Florida Type $loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year 2017 Publication Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 533-555
Keywords Anthropogenically forced climate change ; Decadal climate prediction ; Climate projection ; Climate scenario ; Mitigation ; Adaptation
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Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Florida Climate Institute
Place of Publication Gainesville, FL
Editor Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 851
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Author Kirtman, B. P. ; Misra, V. ; Burgman, R. J. ; Infanti, J. ; Obeysekera, J.
Title Florida Climate Variability and Prediction Type $loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year 2017 Publication Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 511-532
Keywords Multi-model ensembles ; Regional climate prediction ; Dynamical downscaling ; Statistical downscaling
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Publisher Florida Climate Institute
Place of Publication Gainesville, FL
Editor Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 850
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Author Engelman, M. B.
Title A Validation of the FSU/COAPS Climate Model Type $loc['typeManuscript']
Year 2008 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords Crop Models, Skill Scores, Seasonal Prediction, Extreme Events
Abstract This study examines the predictability of the Florida State University/Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction Studies (FSU/COAPS) climate model, and is motivated by the model's potential use in crop modeling. The study also compares real-time ensemble runs (created using persisted SST anomalies) to hindcast ensemble runs (created using weekly updated SST) to asses the effect of SST anomalies on forecast error. Wintertime (DJF, 2 month lead time) surface temperature and precipitation forecasts over the southeastern United States (Georgia, Alabama, and Florida) are evaluated because of the documented links between tropical Pacific SST anomalies and climate in the southeastern United States during the winter season. The global spectral model (GSM) runs at a T63 resolution and then is dynamically downscaled to a 20 x 20 km grid over the southeastern United States using the FSU regional spectral model (RSM). Seasonal, monthly, and daily events from the October 2004 and 2005 model runs are assessed. Seasonal (DJF) plots of real-time forecasts indicate the model is capable of predicting wintertime maximum and minimum temperatures over the southeastern United States. The October 2004 and 2005 real-time model runs both produce temperature forecasts with anomaly errors below 3°C, correlations close to one, and standard deviations similar to observations. Real-time precipitation forecasts are inconsistent. Error in the percent of normal precipitation vary from greater than 100% in the 2004/2005 forecasts to less than 35% error in the 2005/2006 forecasts. Comparing hindcast runs to real-time runs reveals some skill is lost in precipitation forecasts when using a method of SST anomaly persistence if the SST anomalies in the equatorial Pacific change early in the forecast period, as they did for the October 2004 model runs. Further analysis involving monthly and daily model data as well as Brier scores (BS), relative operating characteristics (ROC), and equitable threat scores (ETS), are also examined to confirm these results.
Address Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author Thesis $loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher Florida State University
Place of Publication Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 607
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Author Weihs, R
Title Surface and Atmospheric Boundary Layer Responses to Diurnal Variations of Sea Surface Temperature in an NWP Model Type $loc['typeManuscript']
Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords Marine Boundary Layer ; Numerical Weather Prediction ; Sea Surface Temperature
Abstract
Address Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science
Corporate Author Thesis $loc['Ph.D. thesis']
Publisher Florida State University
Place of Publication Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 339
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Author Srinivasan, A. ; Chassignet, E.P. ; Bertino, L. ; Brankart, J.M. ; Brasseur, P. ; Chin, T.M. ; Counillon, F. ; Cummings, J.A. ; Mariano, A.J. ; Smedstad, O.M. ; Thacker, W.C.
Title A comparison of sequential assimilation schemes for ocean prediction with the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM): Twin experiments with static forecast error covariances Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2011 Publication Ocean Modelling Abbreviated Journal Ocean Modelling
Volume 37
Issue 3-4
Pages 85-111
Keywords Data assimilation ; Ocean modeling ; Ocean prediction ; Twin experiments ; Sequential assimilation ; MVOI ; EnOI ; SEEK ; ROIF ; EnROIF
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1463-5003
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 320
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Author Goff, J.A. ; Arbic, B.K.
Title Global prediction of abyssal hill roughness statistics for use in ocean models from digital maps of paleo-spreading rate, paleo-ridge orientation, and sediment thickness Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2010 Publication Ocean Modelling Abbreviated Journal Ocean Modelling
Volume 32
Issue 1-2
Pages 36-43
Keywords Abyssal hills ; Roughness ; Prediction ; Ocean modeling
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1463-5003
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 345
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Author Smedstad, O.M. ; Hurlburt, H.E. ; Metzger, E.J. ; Rhodes, R.C. ; Shriver, J.F. ; Wallcraft, A.J. ; Kara, A.B.
Title An operational Eddy resolving 1/16° global ocean nowcast/forecast system Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2003 Publication Journal of Marine Systems Abbreviated Journal Journal of Marine Systems
Volume 40-41
Issue Pages 341-361
Keywords global ocean prediction ; prediction of mesoscale variability ; data assimilation ; ocean forecast verification
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0924-7963
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 481
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Author Jagtap, S.S. ; Jones, J.W. ; Hildebrand, P. ; Letson, D. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Podestá, G. ; Zierden, D. ; Zazueta, F.
Title Responding to stakeholder's demands for climate information: from research to applications in Florida Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2002 Publication Agricultural Systems Abbreviated Journal Agricultural Systems
Volume 74
Issue 3
Pages 415-430
Keywords ENSO ; El Niño ; Climate prediction ; Agricultural decisions ; Research framework
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0308521X
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 824
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Author Kelly, D.L. ; Letson, D. ; Nelson, F. ; Nolan, D.S. ; Solís, D.
Title Evolution of subjective hurricane risk perceptions: A Bayesian approach Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2012 Publication Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Abbreviated Journal Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Volume 81
Issue 2
Pages 644-663
Keywords Risk perceptions ; Correlated information ; Bayesian learning ; Event markets ; Prediction markets ; Favorite-longshot bias ; Hurricanes
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0167-2681
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 329
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