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Author Bastola, S.; Misra, V.; Li, H.
Title Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for Watersheds over the Southeastern United States for the Boreal Summer and Fall Seasons Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2013 Publication Earth Interactions Abbreviated Journal Earth Interact.
Volume 17 Issue 25 Pages 1-22
Keywords Seasonal climate forecast; Ensemble streamflow prediction; Rainfall–runoff model
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
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Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1087-3562 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 207
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Author Cintra, R.; Campos Velho, H.; Cocke, S.
Title Multilayer Perceptron on data assimilation system applied to FSU global model Type $loc['typeConference Article']
Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords data assimilation; artificial neural networks; numerical weather prediction; inverse problem
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Area Expedition Conference 3rd International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modeling Maresias, Brazil: 15/2/2016 to 19/2/2016
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 88
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Author Engelman, M. B.
Title A Validation of the FSU/COAPS Climate Model Type $loc['typeManuscript']
Year 2008 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords Crop Models, Skill Scores, Seasonal Prediction, Extreme Events
Abstract This study examines the predictability of the Florida State University/Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction Studies (FSU/COAPS) climate model, and is motivated by the model's potential use in crop modeling. The study also compares real-time ensemble runs (created using persisted SST anomalies) to hindcast ensemble runs (created using weekly updated SST) to asses the effect of SST anomalies on forecast error. Wintertime (DJF, 2 month lead time) surface temperature and precipitation forecasts over the southeastern United States (Georgia, Alabama, and Florida) are evaluated because of the documented links between tropical Pacific SST anomalies and climate in the southeastern United States during the winter season. The global spectral model (GSM) runs at a T63 resolution and then is dynamically downscaled to a 20 x 20 km grid over the southeastern United States using the FSU regional spectral model (RSM). Seasonal, monthly, and daily events from the October 2004 and 2005 model runs are assessed. Seasonal (DJF) plots of real-time forecasts indicate the model is capable of predicting wintertime maximum and minimum temperatures over the southeastern United States. The October 2004 and 2005 real-time model runs both produce temperature forecasts with anomaly errors below 3°C, correlations close to one, and standard deviations similar to observations. Real-time precipitation forecasts are inconsistent. Error in the percent of normal precipitation vary from greater than 100% in the 2004/2005 forecasts to less than 35% error in the 2005/2006 forecasts. Comparing hindcast runs to real-time runs reveals some skill is lost in precipitation forecasts when using a method of SST anomaly persistence if the SST anomalies in the equatorial Pacific change early in the forecast period, as they did for the October 2004 model runs. Further analysis involving monthly and daily model data as well as Brier scores (BS), relative operating characteristics (ROC), and equitable threat scores (ETS), are also examined to confirm these results.
Address Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author Thesis $loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher Florida State University Place of Publication Tallahassee, FL Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
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Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 607
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Author Fu, C.B.; Qian, C.; Wu, Z.H.
Title Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2011 Publication Science China Earth Sciences Abbreviated Journal Sci. China Earth Sci.
Volume 54 Issue 9 Pages 1400-1406
Keywords decadal prediction; global warming; multi-decadal climate variability; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition; CMIP3 multi-model
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Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1674-7313 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 293
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Author Goff, J.A.; Arbic, B.K.
Title Global prediction of abyssal hill roughness statistics for use in ocean models from digital maps of paleo-spreading rate, paleo-ridge orientation, and sediment thickness Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2010 Publication Ocean Modelling Abbreviated Journal Ocean Modelling
Volume 32 Issue 1-2 Pages 36-43
Keywords Abyssal hills; Roughness; Prediction; Ocean modeling
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1463-5003 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 345
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Author Hong, S.-Y.; Park, H.; Cheong, H.-B.; Kim, J.-E.E.; Koo, M.-S.; Jang, J.; Ham, S.; Hwang, S.-O.; Park, B.-K.; Chang, E.-C.; Li, H.
Title The Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs) Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2013 Publication Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences Abbreviated Journal Asia-Pacific J Atmos Sci
Volume 49 Issue 2 Pages 219-243
Keywords Numerical weather prediction; seasonal prediction; general circulation model; regional climate modeling; physics; parameterization; climate modeling; GRIMs; WRF
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1976-7633 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 215
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Author Jagtap, S.S.; Jones, J.W.; Hildebrand, P.; Letson, D.; O'Brien, J.J.; Podestá, G.; Zierden, D.; Zazueta, F.
Title Responding to stakeholder's demands for climate information: from research to applications in Florida Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2002 Publication Agricultural Systems Abbreviated Journal Agricultural Systems
Volume 74 Issue 3 Pages 415-430
Keywords ENSO; El Niño; Climate prediction; Agricultural decisions; Research framework
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0308521X ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 824
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Author Kelly, D.L.; Letson, D.; Nelson, F.; Nolan, D.S.; Solís, D.
Title Evolution of subjective hurricane risk perceptions: A Bayesian approach Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2012 Publication Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Abbreviated Journal Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Volume 81 Issue 2 Pages 644-663
Keywords Risk perceptions; Correlated information; Bayesian learning; Event markets; Prediction markets; Favorite-longshot bias; Hurricanes
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0167-2681 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 329
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Author Kirtman, B. P.; Misra, V.; Anandhi, A.; Palko, D.; Infanti, J.
Title Future Climate Change Scenarios for Florida Type $loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year 2017 Publication Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 533-555
Keywords Anthropogenically forced climate change; Decadal climate prediction; Climate projection; Climate scenario; Mitigation; Adaptation
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Publisher Florida Climate Institute Place of Publication Gainesville, FL Editor Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language Summary Language Original Title
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Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 851
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Author Kirtman, B. P.; Misra, V.; Burgman, R. J.; Infanti, J.; Obeysekera, J.
Title Florida Climate Variability and Prediction Type $loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year 2017 Publication Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 511-532
Keywords Multi-model ensembles; Regional climate prediction; Dynamical downscaling; Statistical downscaling
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Florida Climate Institute Place of Publication Gainesville, FL Editor Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language Summary Language Original Title
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Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @ Serial 850
Permanent link to this record

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