| Records |
| Author |
Venugopal, T.; Ali, M.M.; Bourassa, M.A.; Zheng, Y.; Goni, G.J.; Foltz, G.R.; Rajeevan, M. |
| Title |
Statistical Evidence for the Role of Southwestern Indian Ocean Heat Content in the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2018 |
Publication |
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS |
Abbreviated Journal |
Sci Rep |
| Volume |
8 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
12092 |
| Keywords |
SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; EL-NINO; EQUATORIAL PACIFIC; IMPACT; PREDICTION; ENSO; DIPOLE; REGION; SST |
| Abstract |
This study examines the benefit of using Ocean Mean Temperature (OMT) to aid in the prediction of the sign of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) anomalies. This is a statistical examination, rather than a process study. The thermal energy needed for maintaining and intensifying hurricanes and monsoons comes from the upper ocean, not just from the thin layer represented by sea surface temperature (SST) alone. Here, we show that the southwestern Indian OMT down to the depth of the 26 degrees C isotherm during January-March is a better qualitative predictor of the ISMR than SST. The success rate in predicting above- or below-average ISMR is 80% for OMT compared to 60% for SST. Other January-March mean climate indices (e.g., NINO3.4, Indian Ocean Dipole Mode Index, El Nino Southern Oscillation Modoki Index) have less predictability (52%, 48%, and 56%, respectively) than OMT percentage deviation (PD) (80%). Thus, OMT PD in the southwestern Indian Ocean provides a better qualitative prediction of ISMR by the end of March and indicates whether the ISMR will be above or below the climatological mean value. |
| Address |
Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India, New Delhi, India |
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| Language |
English |
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| ISSN |
2045-2322 |
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strtoupper('3').strtolower('0108244'); strtoupper('P').strtolower('MC6092415') |
Approved |
$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ user @ |
Serial |
972 |
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| Author |
Todd, A., D. Dukhovskoy, M. Griffin |
| Title |
Effectiveness of the Keetch-Byram Drought Index toward the estimation of fires in Florida |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2009 |
Publication |
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology |
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Pages |
submitted |
| Keywords |
KBDI, wildland fire, fire prediction, statistical models |
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USDA |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
677 |
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| Author |
Misra, V.; Marx, L. |
| Title |
The coupled seasonal hindcasts of the South American monsoon |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2009 |
Publication |
International Journal of Climatology |
Abbreviated Journal |
Int. J. Climatol. |
| Volume |
29 |
Issue |
8 |
Pages |
1101-1115 |
| Keywords |
South American monsoon; ENSO; prediction |
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| ISSN |
0899-8418 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
654 |
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| Author |
Nielsen, E.R.; Schumacher, R.S.; Keclik, A.M. |
| Title |
The Effect of the Balcones Escarpment on Three Cases of Extreme Precipitation in Central Texas |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2016 |
Publication |
Monthly Weather Review |
Abbreviated Journal |
Mon. Wea. Rev. |
| Volume |
144 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
119-138 |
| Keywords |
Circulation/ Dynamics; Orographic effects; Atm/Ocean Structure/ Phenomena; Flood events; Physical Meteorology and Climatology; Hydrometeorology; Forecasting; Ensembles; Numerical weather prediction/forecasting |
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0027-0644 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
102 |
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| Author |
Yin, J.; Griffies, S.M.; Stouffer, R.J. |
| Title |
Spatial Variability of Sea Level Rise in Twenty-First Century Projections |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2010 |
Publication |
Journal of Climate |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Climate |
| Volume |
23 |
Issue |
17 |
Pages |
4585-4607 |
| Keywords |
Sea level; Climate prediction |
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0894-8755 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
369 |
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| Author |
Bastola, S.; Misra, V.; Li, H. |
| Title |
Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for Watersheds over the Southeastern United States for the Boreal Summer and Fall Seasons |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Earth Interactions |
Abbreviated Journal |
Earth Interact. |
| Volume |
17 |
Issue |
25 |
Pages |
1-22 |
| Keywords |
Seasonal climate forecast; Ensemble streamflow prediction; Rainfall–runoff model |
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| ISSN |
1087-3562 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
207 |
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| Author |
Yatagai, A.; Krishnamurti, T.N.; Kumar, V.; Mishra, A.K.; Simon, A. |
| Title |
Use of APHRODITE Rain Gauge-Based Precipitation and TRMM 3B43 Products for Improving Asian Monsoon Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts by the Superensemble Method |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Journal of Climate |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Climate |
| Volume |
27 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
1062-1069 |
| Keywords |
Monsoons; Precipitation; Databases; Superensembles; Climate prediction; Statistical forecasting |
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0894-8755 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
171 |
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| Author |
Lim, Y.-K.; Cocke, S.; Shin, D.W.; Schoof, J.T.; LaRow, T.E.; O'Brien, J.J. |
| Title |
Downscaling large-scale NCEP CFS to resolve fine-scale seasonal precipitation and extremes for the crop growing seasons over the southeastern United States |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2010 |
Publication |
Climate Dynamics |
Abbreviated Journal |
Clim Dyn |
| Volume |
35 |
Issue |
2-3 |
Pages |
449-471 |
| Keywords |
Downscaling; Precipitation; Regional climate; Prediction; Extremes |
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| ISSN |
0930-7575 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
364 |
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| Author |
Fu, C.B.; Qian, C.; Wu, Z.H. |
| Title |
Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Science China Earth Sciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Sci. China Earth Sci. |
| Volume |
54 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
1400-1406 |
| Keywords |
decadal prediction; global warming; multi-decadal climate variability; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition; CMIP3 multi-model |
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| ISSN |
1674-7313 |
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$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
293 |
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| Author |
Hong, S.-Y.; Park, H.; Cheong, H.-B.; Kim, J.-E.E.; Koo, M.-S.; Jang, J.; Ham, S.; Hwang, S.-O.; Park, B.-K.; Chang, E.-C.; Li, H. |
| Title |
The Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs) |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
| Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Asia-Pacific J Atmos Sci |
| Volume |
49 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
219-243 |
| Keywords |
Numerical weather prediction; seasonal prediction; general circulation model; regional climate modeling; physics; parameterization; climate modeling; GRIMs; WRF |
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| ISSN |
1976-7633 |
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Approved |
$loc['no'] |
| Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
215 |
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