Records |
Author  |
Dukhovskoy, D.S.; Ubnoske, J.; Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E.; Hiester, H.R.; Proshutinsky, A. |
Title |
Skill metrics for evaluation and comparison of sea ice models |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Geophys. Res. Oceans |
Volume |
120 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
5910-5931 |
Keywords |
sea ice model; sea ice model validation; model skill assessment |
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ISSN |
2169-9275 |
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Approved |
$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
101 |
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Author  |
Dukhovskoy, D; Bourassa, M |
Title |
Comparison of ocean surface wind products in the perspective of ocean modeling of the Nordic Seas |
Type |
$loc['typeConference Article'] |
Year |
2011 |
Publication |
OCEANS 2011 |
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Keywords |
scatterometer winds; Arctic Ocean; ocean modeling |
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Conference |
MTS/IEEE OCEANS Conference |
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Approved |
$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
315 |
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Author  |
Elsner, J.B.; Strazzo, S.E.; Jagger, T.H.; LaRow, T.; Zhao, M. |
Title |
Sensitivity of Limiting Hurricane Intensity to SST in the Atlantic from Observations and GCMs |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Journal of Climate |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Climate |
Volume |
26 |
Issue |
16 |
Pages |
5949-5957 |
Keywords |
Hurricanes/typhoons; Sensitivity studies; Statistics; General circulation models |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0894-8755 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
212 |
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Author  |
Engelman, M. B. |
Title |
A Validation of the FSU/COAPS Climate Model |
Type |
$loc['typeManuscript'] |
Year |
2008 |
Publication |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
Crop Models, Skill Scores, Seasonal Prediction, Extreme Events |
Abstract |
This study examines the predictability of the Florida State University/Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction Studies (FSU/COAPS) climate model, and is motivated by the model's potential use in crop modeling. The study also compares real-time ensemble runs (created using persisted SST anomalies) to hindcast ensemble runs (created using weekly updated SST) to asses the effect of SST anomalies on forecast error. Wintertime (DJF, 2 month lead time) surface temperature and precipitation forecasts over the southeastern United States (Georgia, Alabama, and Florida) are evaluated because of the documented links between tropical Pacific SST anomalies and climate in the southeastern United States during the winter season. The global spectral model (GSM) runs at a T63 resolution and then is dynamically downscaled to a 20 x 20 km grid over the southeastern United States using the FSU regional spectral model (RSM). Seasonal, monthly, and daily events from the October 2004 and 2005 model runs are assessed. Seasonal (DJF) plots of real-time forecasts indicate the model is capable of predicting wintertime maximum and minimum temperatures over the southeastern United States. The October 2004 and 2005 real-time model runs both produce temperature forecasts with anomaly errors below 3°C, correlations close to one, and standard deviations similar to observations. Real-time precipitation forecasts are inconsistent. Error in the percent of normal precipitation vary from greater than 100% in the 2004/2005 forecasts to less than 35% error in the 2005/2006 forecasts. Comparing hindcast runs to real-time runs reveals some skill is lost in precipitation forecasts when using a method of SST anomaly persistence if the SST anomalies in the equatorial Pacific change early in the forecast period, as they did for the October 2004 model runs. Further analysis involving monthly and daily model data as well as Brier scores (BS), relative operating characteristics (ROC), and equitable threat scores (ETS), are also examined to confirm these results. |
Address |
Department of Meteorology |
Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
$loc['Master's thesis'] |
Publisher |
Florida State University |
Place of Publication |
Tallahassee, FL |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
607 |
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Author  |
Farneti, R.; Downes, S.M.; Griffies, S.M.; Marsland, S.J.; Behrens, E.; Bentsen, M.; Bi, D.; Biastoch, A.; Böning, C.; Bozec, A.; Canuto, V.M.; Chassignet, E.; Danabasoglu, G.; Danilov, S.; Diansky, N.; Drange, H.; Fogli, P.G.; Gusev, A.; Hallberg, R.W.; Howard, A.; Ilicak, M.; Jung, T.; Kelley, M.; Large, W.G.; Leboissetier, A.; Long, M.; Lu, J.; Masina, S.; Mishra, A.; Navarra, A.; George Nurser, A.J.; Patara, L.; Samuels, B.L.; Sidorenko, D.; Tsujino, H.; Uotila, P.; Wang, Q.; Yeager, S.G. |
Title |
An assessment of Antarctic Circumpolar Current and Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation during 1958-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Ocean Modelling |
Abbreviated Journal |
Ocean Modelling |
Volume |
93 |
Issue |
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Pages |
84-120 |
Keywords |
Global ocean–sea ice modeling; Model comparisons; Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation; Antarctic Circumpolar Current; Southern Ocean dynamics |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1463-5003 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
103 |
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Author  |
Fraisse, C.W.; Breuer, N.E.; Zierden, D.; Bellow, J.G.; Paz, J.; Cabrera, V.E.; Garcia y Garcia, A.; Ingram, K.T.; Hatch, U.; Hoogenboom, G.; Jones, J.W.; O'Brien, J.J. |
Title |
AgClimate: A climate forecast information system for agricultural risk management in the southeastern USA |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2006 |
Publication |
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture |
Abbreviated Journal |
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture |
Volume |
53 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
13-27 |
Keywords |
crop models climate variability; decision making; ENSO; El Nino; extension |
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ISSN |
0168-1699 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
434 |
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Author  |
Frumkin, A |
Title |
Predictability of Dry Season Reforecasts over the Tropical South American Region |
Type |
$loc['typeManuscript'] |
Year |
2011 |
Publication |
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Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
RSM; CFS; Anomaly Nesting; Climate Model |
Abstract |
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Address |
Department of Earth Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences |
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Thesis |
$loc['Master's thesis'] |
Publisher |
Florida State University |
Place of Publication |
Tallahassee, FL |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
333 |
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Author  |
Fu, C.B.; Qian, C.; Wu, Z.H. |
Title |
Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Science China Earth Sciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Sci. China Earth Sci. |
Volume |
54 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
1400-1406 |
Keywords |
decadal prediction; global warming; multi-decadal climate variability; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition; CMIP3 multi-model |
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ISSN |
1674-7313 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
293 |
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Author  |
Glazer, R. H. |
Title |
The Influence of Mesoscale Sea Surface Temperature Gradients on Tropical Cyclones |
Type |
$loc['typeManuscript'] |
Year |
2014 |
Publication |
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Keywords |
Air-Sea Interaction; Numerical Modeling; Sea Surface Temperature; Tropical Cyclones; Tropical Meteorology |
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Address |
Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science |
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Thesis |
$loc['Master's thesis'] |
Publisher |
Florida State University |
Place of Publication |
Tallahassee, FL |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
161 |
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Author  |
Glazer, R. H.; Misra, V. |
Title |
Ice versus liquid water saturation in simulations of the Indian summer monsoon |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Climate Dynamics |
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Keywords |
Indian monsoon; Regional modeling; Saturation vapor pressure; Cloud microphysics scheme |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
943 |
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