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Author
Brolley, J. M.
Title
Effects of ENSO, NAO (PVO), and PDO on Monthly Extreme Temperatures and Precipitation
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2007
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
NAO, PDO, ENSO, Climate Variability, Extremes, Stochastic
Abstract
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the Polar Vortex Oscillation (PVO) produce conditions favorable for monthly extreme temperatures and precipitation. These climate modes produce upper-level teleconnection patterns that favor regional droughts, floods, heat waves, and cold spells, and these extremes impact agriculture, energy, forestry, and transportation. The above sectors prefer the knowledge of the worst (and sometimes the best) case scenarios. This study examines the extreme scenarios for each phase and the combination of phases that produce the greatest monthly extremes. Data from Canada, Mexico, and the United States are gathered from the Historical Climatology Network (HCN). Monthly data are simulated by the utilization of a Monte Carlo model. This Monte Carlo method simulates monthly data by the stochastic selection of daily data with identical ENSO, PDO, and PVO (NAO) characteristics. In order to test the quality of the Monte Carlo simulation, the simulations are compared with the observations using only PDO and PVO. It has been found that temperatures and precipitation in the simulation are similar to the model. Statistics tests have favored similarities between simulations and observations in most cases. Daily data are selected in blocks of four to eight days in order to conserve temporal correlation. Because the polar vortex occurs only during the cold season, the PVO is used during January, and the NAO is used during other months. The simulated data are arranged, and the tenth and ninetieth percentiles are analyzed. The magnitudes of temperature and precipitation anomalies are the greatest in the western Canada and the southeastern United States during winter, and these anomalies are located near the Pacific North American (PNA) extrema. Western Canada has its coldest (warmest) Januaries when the PDO and PVO are low (high). The southeastern United States has its coldest Januaries with high PDO and low PVO and warmest Januaries with low PDO and high PVO. Although extremes occur during El Nino or La Nina, many stations have the highest or lowest temperatures during neutral ENSO. In California and the Gulf Coast, the driest (wettest) Januaries tend to occur during low (high) PDO, and the reverse occurs in Tennessee, Kentucky, Ohio, and Indiana. Summertime anomalies, on the other hand, are weak because temperature variance is low. Phase combinations that form the wettest (driest) Julies form spatially incoherent patterns. The magnitudes of the temperature and precipitation anomalies and the corresponding phase combinations vary regionally and seasonally. Composite maps of geopotential heights across North America are plot for low, median, and high temperatures at six selected sites and for low, median, and high precipitation at the same sites. The greatest fluctuations occur near the six sites and over some of the loci of the PNA pattern. Geopotential heights tend to decrease (increase) over the target stations during the cold (warm) cases, and the results for precipitation are variable.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Ph.D. thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
587
Permanent link to this record
Author
Brolley, J.M. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Schoof, J. ; Zierden, D.
Title
Experimental drought threat forecast for Florida
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2007
Publication
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Abbreviated Journal
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Volume
145
Issue
1-2
Pages
84-96
Keywords
wildfires ; Keetch-Byram drought index ; drought ; El Nino/Southern oscillation ; spectral weather generator
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0168-1923
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
USDA and NOAA
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
422
Permanent link to this record
Author
Brunke, M.A. ; Zeng, X. ; Misra, V. ; Beljaars, A.
Title
Integration of a prognostic sea surface skin temperature scheme into weather and climate models
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2008
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res.
Volume
113
Issue
D21
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0148-0227
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
678
Permanent link to this record
Author
Bruno-Piverger, R.E.
Title
Applying Neural Networks to Simulate Visual Inspection of Observational Weather Data
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Florida State University College of Arts and Sciences, Master's Thesis
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1090
Permanent link to this record
Author
Buchanan, S. ; Misra, V. ; Bhardwaj, A.
Title
https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.5450
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
International Journal of Climatology
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
38
Issue
6
Pages
2651-2661
Keywords
Abstract
The integrated kinetic energy (IKE) of a tropical cyclone (TC), a volume integration of the surface winds around the centre of the TC, is computed from a comprehensive surface wind (National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s (NASA) cross‐calibrated multi‐platform [CCMP]) analysis available over the global oceans to verify against IKE from wind radii estimates of extended best‐track data maintained by NOAA for the North Atlantic TCs. It is shown that CCMP surface wind analysis severely underestimates IKE largely from not resolving hurricane force winds for majority of the Atlantic TCs, under sampling short‐lived and small‐sized TCs. The seasonal cycle of the North Atlantic TC IKE also verifies poorly in the CCMP analysis. In this article we introduce proxy IKE (PIKE) based on the kinetic energy of the winds at the radius of the last closed isobar (ROCI), which shows promise for a wide range of TC sizes including the smaller‐sized TCs unresolved in the CCMP data set.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
551
Permanent link to this record
Author
Cabrera, V., D. Solis, G. Baigorria and D. Letson
Title
Managing climate variability in agricultural analysis
Type
$loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year
2009
Publication
Ocean Circulation and El Niño: New Research
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
163-179
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Nova Publishing, Inc
Place of Publication
Editor
J.A. Long and D.S. Wells
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
665
Permanent link to this record
Author
Cabrera, V.E., D. Solis, and D. Letson
Title
Optimal crop insurance under climate variability: contrasting insurer and farmer interests
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2009
Publication
Transactions of the ASABE
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
52
Issue
2
Pages
623-631
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
657
Permanent link to this record
Author
Cabrera, V.E., D. Solis, G.A. Baigorria, and D. Letson
Title
Managing climate risks to agriculture: evidence from El Nino
Type
$loc['typeReport']
Year
Publication
Southeast Climate Consortium Technical Report Series
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
14
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
SECC
Place of Publication
Gainesville, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
661
Permanent link to this record
Author
Caron, J.
Title
The generation of synthetic sea surface temperature date for the equatorial Pacific Ocean
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
1997
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
646
Permanent link to this record
Author
Caron, J.M. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
The Generation of Synthetic Sea Surface Temperature Data for the Equatorial Pacific Ocean
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
1998
Publication
Monthly Weather Review
Abbreviated Journal
Mon. Wea. Rev.
Volume
126
Issue
11
Pages
2809-2821
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0027-0644
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
536
Permanent link to this record