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Author
Williams, M
Title
Characterizing Multi-Decadal Temperature Variability in the Southeastern United States
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2010
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Meteorology, Climate Variability, Climate, Warm Regime, Cold Regim
Abstract
Prior studies of the long-term temperature record in the Southeastern United States (SE US) mostly discuss the long-term cooling trend, and the inter-annual variability produced by the region's strong ties to El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). An examination of long-term temperature records in the SE US show clear multi-decadal variations in temperature, with relative warm periods in the 1920's through the mid 1950's and a cool period in the late 1950's through the late 1990's. This substantial shift in multi-decadal variability is not well understood and has not been fully investigated. It appears to account for the long-term downward trend in temperatures. An accurate characterization of this variability could lead to improved interannual and long-term forecasts, which would be useful for agricultural planning, drought mitigation, water management, and preparation for extreme temperature events. Statistical methods are employed to determine the spatial coherence of the observed variability on seasonal time scales. The goal of this study is to characterize the nature of this variability through the analysis of National Weather Service Cooperative Observer Program (COOP) station data in Florida, Georgia, Alabama, North Carolina, and South Carolina. One finding is a shift in the temperature Probability Distribution Function (PDF) between warm regimes and cool regimes.
Address
Department of Earth Ocean and Atmospheric Science
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
578
Permanent link to this record
Author
Smith, R. A.
Title
Trends in Maximum and Minimum Temperature Deciles in Select Regions of the United States
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2007
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Long term temperature trends, Climate change, Statistical analysis, Climatology
Abstract
Daily maximum and minimum temperature data from 758 COOP stations in nineteen states are used to create temperature decile maps. All stations used contain records from 1948 through 2004 and could not be missing more than 5 consecutive years of data. Missing data are replaced using a multiple linear regression technique from surrounding stations. For each station, the maximum and minimum temperatures are first sorted in ascending order for every two years (to reduce annual variability) and divided into ten equal parts (or deciles). The first decile represents the coldest temperatures, and the last decile contains the warmest temperatures. Patterns and trends in these deciles can be examined for the 57-year period. A linear least-squares regression method is used to calculate best-fit lines for each decile to determine the long-term trends at each station. Significant warming or cooling is determined using the Student's t-test, and bootstrapping the decile data will further examine the validity of significance. Two stations are closely examined. Apalachicola, Florida shows significant warming in its maximum deciles and significant cooling in its minimum deciles. The maximum deciles seem to be affected by some localized change. The minimum deciles are discontinuous, and the trends are a result of a minor station move. Columbus, Georgia has experienced significant warming in its minimum deciles, and this appears to be the result of an urban heat-island effect. The discontinuities seen in the Apalachicola case study illustrate the need for a quality control method. This method will eliminate stations from the regional analysis that experience large changes in the ten-year standard deviations within their time series. The regional analysis shows that most of the region is dominated by significant cooling in the maximum deciles and significant warming in the minimum deciles, with more variability in the lower deciles. Field significance testing is performed on subregions (based on USGS 2000 land cover data) and supports the findings from the regional analysis; it also isolates regions, such as the Florida peninsula and the Maryland/Delaware region, that appear to be affected by more local forcings.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
612
Permanent link to this record
Author
Morey, S. ; Koch, M. ; Liu, Y. ; Lee, S. -K.
Title
Florida's oceans and marine habitats in a changing climate
Type
$loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year
2017
Publication
Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
391-425
Keywords
Ocean climate ; Sea level rise ; Florida climate ; Gulf of Mexico ; AMOC ; Caribbean climate ; Florida hydrology ; Florida reefs ; Global warming
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Florida Climate Institute
Place of Publication
Gainesville, FL
Editor
Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
848
Permanent link to this record
Author
Karmel, T.
Title
Using multiple methodologies to explore variation in rainfall events in the southeastern United States
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2016
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Climate ; rainfall ; variation ; percentiles ; southeast ; united states ; assessment
Abstract
Address
Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Bachelor's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
81
Permanent link to this record
Author
Wallcraft, A.J. ; Kara, A.B. ; Hurlburt, H.E. ; Chassignet, E.P. ; Halliwell, G.H.
Title
Value of bulk heat flux parameterizations for ocean SST prediction
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2008
Publication
Journal of Marine Systems
Abbreviated Journal
Journal of Marine Systems
Volume
74
Issue
1-2
Pages
241-258
Keywords
Bulk heat fluxes ; Ocean model SST ; Exchange coefficients ; Atmospheric forcing ; Climate
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0924-7963
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
405
Permanent link to this record
Author
Jagtap, S.S. ; Jones, J.W. ; Hildebrand, P. ; Letson, D. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Podestá, G. ; Zierden, D. ; Zazueta, F.
Title
Responding to stakeholder's demands for climate information: from research to applications in Florida
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2002
Publication
Agricultural Systems
Abbreviated Journal
Agricultural Systems
Volume
74
Issue
3
Pages
415-430
Keywords
ENSO ; El Niño ; Climate prediction ; Agricultural decisions ; Research framework
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0308521X
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
824
Permanent link to this record
Author
Podestá, G. ; Letson, D. ; Messina, C. ; Royce, F. ; Ferreyra, R.A. ; Jones, J. ; Hansen, J. ; Llovet, I. ; Grondona, M. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
Use of ENSO-related climate information in agricultural decision making in Argentina: a pilot experience
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2002
Publication
Agricultural Systems
Abbreviated Journal
Agricultural Systems
Volume
74
Issue
3
Pages
371-392
Keywords
El Nino-Southern Oscillation ; argentine pampas ; climate forecasts ; climate-adaptive management ; linked modeling
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0308521X
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
491
Permanent link to this record
Author
Morey, S.L. ; Dukhovskoy, D.S. ; Bourassa, M.A.
Title
Connectivity of the Apalachicola River flow variability and the physical and bio-optical oceanic properties of the northern West Florida Shelf
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2009
Publication
Continental Shelf Research
Abbreviated Journal
Continental Shelf Research
Volume
29
Issue
9
Pages
1264-1275
Keywords
River plumes ; Climate variability ; Ocean color ; West Florida Shelf ; Apalachicola River
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0278-4343
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
NASA, OVWST
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
393
Permanent link to this record
Author
Sura, P.
Title
A general perspective of extreme events in weather and climate
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2011
Publication
Atmospheric Research
Abbreviated Journal
Atmospheric Research
Volume
101
Issue
1-2
Pages
1-21
Keywords
Weather and climate extremes ; Stochastic modeling ; Weather and climate statistics
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0169-8095
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
302
Permanent link to this record
Author
Fraisse, C.W. ; Breuer, N.E. ; Zierden, D. ; Bellow, J.G. ; Paz, J. ; Cabrera, V.E. ; Garcia y Garcia, A. ; Ingram, K.T. ; Hatch, U. ; Hoogenboom, G. ; Jones, J.W. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
AgClimate: A climate forecast information system for agricultural risk management in the southeastern USA
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2006
Publication
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Abbreviated Journal
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Volume
53
Issue
1
Pages
13-27
Keywords
crop models climate variability ; decision making ; ENSO ; El Nino ; extension
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0168-1699
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
434
Permanent link to this record