Records
Links
Author Engelman, M. B.
Title A Validation of the FSU/COAPS Climate Model Type $loc['typeManuscript']
Year 2008 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords Crop Models, Skill Scores, Seasonal Prediction, Extreme Events
Abstract This study examines the predictability of the Florida State University/Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction Studies (FSU/COAPS) climate model, and is motivated by the model's potential use in crop modeling. The study also compares real-time ensemble runs (created using persisted SST anomalies) to hindcast ensemble runs (created using weekly updated SST) to asses the effect of SST anomalies on forecast error. Wintertime (DJF, 2 month lead time) surface temperature and precipitation forecasts over the southeastern United States (Georgia, Alabama, and Florida) are evaluated because of the documented links between tropical Pacific SST anomalies and climate in the southeastern United States during the winter season. The global spectral model (GSM) runs at a T63 resolution and then is dynamically downscaled to a 20 x 20 km grid over the southeastern United States using the FSU regional spectral model (RSM). Seasonal, monthly, and daily events from the October 2004 and 2005 model runs are assessed. Seasonal (DJF) plots of real-time forecasts indicate the model is capable of predicting wintertime maximum and minimum temperatures over the southeastern United States. The October 2004 and 2005 real-time model runs both produce temperature forecasts with anomaly errors below 3°C, correlations close to one, and standard deviations similar to observations. Real-time precipitation forecasts are inconsistent. Error in the percent of normal precipitation vary from greater than 100% in the 2004/2005 forecasts to less than 35% error in the 2005/2006 forecasts. Comparing hindcast runs to real-time runs reveals some skill is lost in precipitation forecasts when using a method of SST anomaly persistence if the SST anomalies in the equatorial Pacific change early in the forecast period, as they did for the October 2004 model runs. Further analysis involving monthly and daily model data as well as Brier scores (BS), relative operating characteristics (ROC), and equitable threat scores (ETS), are also examined to confirm these results.
Address Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author Thesis $loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher Florida State University
Place of Publication Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 607
Permanent link to this record
Author Bastola, S. ; Misra, V.
Title Seasonal hydrological and nutrient loading forecasts for watersheds over the Southeastern United States Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2015 Publication Environmental Modelling & Software Abbreviated Journal Environmental Modelling & Software
Volume 73
Issue Pages 90-102
Keywords Rainfall-runoff model ; Seasonal hydrologic forecasting ; Southeastern United States ; Water quality ; Seasonal predictability
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1364-8152
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 95
Permanent link to this record
Author Krishnamurti, T.N. ; Jana, S. ; Krishnamurti, R. ; Kumar, V. ; Deepa, R. ; Papa, F. ; Bourassa, M.A. ; Ali, M.M.
Title Monsoonal intraseasonal oscillations in the ocean heat content over the surface layers of the Bay of Bengal Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2017 Publication Journal of Marine Systems Abbreviated Journal Journal of Marine Systems
Volume 167
Issue Pages 19-32
Keywords Intraseasonal oscillations ; Ocean heat content ; Bay of Bengal
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0924-7963
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 64
Permanent link to this record
Author Misra, V. ; Mishra, A. ; Li, H.
Title The sensitivity of the regional coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations over the Intra-Americas seas to the prescribed bathymetry Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2016 Publication Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans Abbreviated Journal Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans
Volume 76
Issue Pages 29-51
Keywords Coupled downscaling ; Intra-Americas Seas ; Warm pool ; Loop Current ; SST bias
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0377-0265
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 43
Permanent link to this record
Author Ramírez-Rodrigues, M.A. ; Alderman, P.D. ; Stefanova, L. ; Cossani, C.M. ; Flores, D. ; Asseng, S.
Title The value of seasonal forecasts for irrigated, supplementary irrigated, and rainfed wheat cropping systems in northwest Mexico Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2016 Publication Agricultural Systems Abbreviated Journal Agricultural Systems
Volume 147
Issue Pages 76-86
Keywords Arid environment ; litigation ; Supplementary irrigation ; Wheat ; Mexico ; Seasonal forecast
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0308521X
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 49
Permanent link to this record
Author Palacios-Hernández, E. ; Carrillo, L. ; Lavín, M.F. ; Zamudio, L. ; García-Sandoval, A.
Title Hydrography and circulation in the Northern Gulf of California during winter of 1994-1995 Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2006 Publication Continental Shelf Research Abbreviated Journal Continental Shelf Research
Volume 26
Issue 1
Pages 82-103
Keywords seasonal circulation ; gyres ; coastally trapped waves ; ENSO ; Gulf of California
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0278-4343
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 442
Permanent link to this record
Author Hong, S.-Y. ; Park, H. ; Cheong, H.-B. ; Kim, J.-E.E. ; Koo, M.-S. ; Jang, J. ; Ham, S. ; Hwang, S.-O. ; Park, B.-K. ; Chang, E.-C. ; Li, H.
Title The Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs) Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2013 Publication Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences Abbreviated Journal Asia-Pacific J Atmos Sci
Volume 49
Issue 2
Pages 219-243
Keywords Numerical weather prediction ; seasonal prediction ; general circulation model ; regional climate modeling ; physics ; parameterization ; climate modeling ; GRIMs ; WRF
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1976-7633
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 215
Permanent link to this record
Author Jia, Y. ; Chassignet, E.P.
Title Seasonal variation of eddy shedding from the Kuroshio intrusion in the Luzon Strait Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2011 Publication Journal of Oceanography Abbreviated Journal J Oceanogr
Volume 67
Issue 5
Pages 601-611
Keywords Eddy shedding ; Kuroshio intrusion ; Luzon Strait ; Seasonal variation
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0916-8370
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 289
Permanent link to this record
Author Li, H. ; Misra, V.
Title Thirty-two-year ocean-atmosphere coupled downscaling of global reanalysis over the Intra-American Seas Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2014 Publication Climate Dynamics Abbreviated Journal Clim Dyn
Volume 43
Issue 9-10
Pages 2471-2489
Keywords Coupled downscaling ; Reanalysis ; Intra-American Seas ; Interannual variability
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0930-7575
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 134
Permanent link to this record
Author Misra, V. ; Li, H.
Title The seasonal predictability of the Asian summer monsoon in a two-tiered forecast system Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2014 Publication Climate Dynamics Abbreviated Journal Clim Dyn
Volume 42
Issue 9-10
Pages 2491-2507
Keywords ENSO ; Monsoon ; Seasonal predictability
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0930-7575
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 140
Permanent link to this record
