COAPS Virtual Library (Publications)

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COAPS annually produces numerous refereed publications, technical reports, and theses. Here a user can view a list of our recent (the current calendar year) publications or search for publications of interest. The search page provides a number of user selectable options. Many published abstracts, full manuscripts, and theses can be accessed in PDF format.

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	Author	Brolley, J. M.
	Title	Effects of ENSO, NAO (PVO), and PDO on Monthly Extreme Temperatures and Precipitation			Type	$loc['typeManuscript']
	Year	2007	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords	NAO, PDO, ENSO, Climate Variability, Extremes, Stochastic
	Abstract	The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the Polar Vortex Oscillation (PVO) produce conditions favorable for monthly extreme temperatures and precipitation. These climate modes produce upper-level teleconnection patterns that favor regional droughts, floods, heat waves, and cold spells, and these extremes impact agriculture, energy, forestry, and transportation. The above sectors prefer the knowledge of the worst (and sometimes the best) case scenarios. This study examines the extreme scenarios for each phase and the combination of phases that produce the greatest monthly extremes. Data from Canada, Mexico, and the United States are gathered from the Historical Climatology Network (HCN). Monthly data are simulated by the utilization of a Monte Carlo model. This Monte Carlo method simulates monthly data by the stochastic selection of daily data with identical ENSO, PDO, and PVO (NAO) characteristics. In order to test the quality of the Monte Carlo simulation, the simulations are compared with the observations using only PDO and PVO. It has been found that temperatures and precipitation in the simulation are similar to the model. Statistics tests have favored similarities between simulations and observations in most cases. Daily data are selected in blocks of four to eight days in order to conserve temporal correlation. Because the polar vortex occurs only during the cold season, the PVO is used during January, and the NAO is used during other months. The simulated data are arranged, and the tenth and ninetieth percentiles are analyzed. The magnitudes of temperature and precipitation anomalies are the greatest in the western Canada and the southeastern United States during winter, and these anomalies are located near the Pacific North American (PNA) extrema. Western Canada has its coldest (warmest) Januaries when the PDO and PVO are low (high). The southeastern United States has its coldest Januaries with high PDO and low PVO and warmest Januaries with low PDO and high PVO. Although extremes occur during El Nino or La Nina, many stations have the highest or lowest temperatures during neutral ENSO. In California and the Gulf Coast, the driest (wettest) Januaries tend to occur during low (high) PDO, and the reverse occurs in Tennessee, Kentucky, Ohio, and Indiana. Summertime anomalies, on the other hand, are weak because temperature variance is low. Phase combinations that form the wettest (driest) Julies form spatially incoherent patterns. The magnitudes of the temperature and precipitation anomalies and the corresponding phase combinations vary regionally and seasonally. Composite maps of geopotential heights across North America are plot for low, median, and high temperatures at six selected sites and for low, median, and high precipitation at the same sites. The greatest fluctuations occur near the six sites and over some of the loci of the PNA pattern. Geopotential heights tend to decrease (increase) over the target stations during the cold (warm) cases, and the results for precipitation are variable.
	Address	Department of Meteorology
	Corporate Author				Thesis	$loc['Ph.D. thesis']
	Publisher	Florida State University	Place of Publication	Tallahassee, FL	Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	587
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	Author	Bunge, L.; Clarke, A.J.
	Title	On the Warm Water Volume and Its Changing Relationship with ENSO			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2014	Publication	Journal of Physical Oceanography	Abbreviated Journal	J. Phys. Oceanogr.
	Volume	44	Issue	5	Pages	1372-1385
	Keywords	Physical Meteorology and Climatology; Climate variability; ENSO; Observational techniques and algorithms; Climate records; Variability; Decadal variability; Interannual variability
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	0022-3670	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	156
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	Author	Cammarano, D.; Stefanova, L.; Ortiz, B.V.; Ramirez-Rodrigues, M.; Asseng, S.; Misra, V.; Wilkerson, G.; Basso, B.; Jones, J.W.; Boote, K.J.; DiNapoli, S.
	Title	Evaluating the fidelity of downscaled climate data on simulated wheat and maize production in the southeastern US			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2013	Publication	Regional Environmental Change	Abbreviated Journal	Reg Environ Change
	Volume	13	Issue	S1	Pages	101-110
	Keywords	Crop simulation models; Climate variability; Global circulation models; Reanalysis; Wheat; Maize
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	1436-3798	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	187
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	Author	Fraisse, C.W.; Breuer, N.E.; Zierden, D.; Bellow, J.G.; Paz, J.; Cabrera, V.E.; Garcia y Garcia, A.; Ingram, K.T.; Hatch, U.; Hoogenboom, G.; Jones, J.W.; O'Brien, J.J.
	Title	AgClimate: A climate forecast information system for agricultural risk management in the southeastern USA			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2006	Publication	Computers and Electronics in Agriculture	Abbreviated Journal	Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
	Volume	53	Issue	1	Pages	13-27
	Keywords	crop models climate variability; decision making; ENSO; El Nino; extension
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	0168-1699	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	434
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	Author	Fu, C.B.; Qian, C.; Wu, Z.H.
	Title	Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2011	Publication	Science China Earth Sciences	Abbreviated Journal	Sci. China Earth Sci.
	Volume	54	Issue	9	Pages	1400-1406
	Keywords	decadal prediction; global warming; multi-decadal climate variability; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition; CMIP3 multi-model
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	1674-7313	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	293
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	Author	Gilford, D.M.; Smith, S.R.; Griffin, M.L.; Arguez, A.
	Title	Southeastern U.S. Daily Temperature Ranges Associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2013	Publication	Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology	Abbreviated Journal	J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol.
	Volume	52	Issue	11	Pages	2434-2449
	Keywords	Climate variability; Climatology; ENSO; Surface temperature; Climate records
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	1558-8424	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	180
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	Author	Kumar, V.; Jana, S.; Bhardwaj, A.; Deepa, R.; Sahu, S.K.; Pradhan, P.K.; Sirdas, S.A.
	Title	Greenhouse Gas Emission, Rainfall and Crop Production Over North-Western India			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2018	Publication	The Open Ecology Journal	Abbreviated Journal	TOECOLJ
	Volume	11	Issue	1	Pages	47-61
	Keywords	Greenhouse gases, CH4, Climate Variability, Emissions, Crop production, Rainfall.
	Abstract	Background: This study is based on datasets acquired from multi sources e.g. rain-gauges, satellite, reanalysis and coupled model for the region of Northwestern India. The influence of rainfall on crop production is obvious and direct. With the climate change and global warming, greenhouse gases are also showing an adverse impact on crop production. Greenhouse gases (e.g. CO2, NO2 and CH4) have shown an increasing trend over Northwestern Indian region. In recent years, rainfall has also shown an increasing trend over Northwestern India, while the production of rice and maize are reducing over the region. From eight selected sites, over Northwestern India, where rice and maize productions have reduced by 40%, with an increase in CO2, NO2 and CH4 gas emission by 5% from 1998 to 2011. Results: The correlation from one year to another between rainfall, gas emission and crop production was not very robust throughout the study period, but seemed to be stronger for some years than others. Conclusion: Such trends and crop yield are attributed to rainfall, greenhouse gas emissions and to the climate variability.
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	1874-2130	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ user @			Serial	1017
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	Author	Lu, J.; Hu, A.; Zeng, Z.
	Title	On the possible interaction between internal climate variability and forced climate change			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2014	Publication	Geophysical Research Letters	Abbreviated Journal	Geophys. Res. Lett.
	Volume	41	Issue	8	Pages	2962-2970
	Keywords	climate variability; forced climate change; global warming hiatus; Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV); Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	0094-8276	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	138
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	Author	Morey, S.L.; Dukhovskoy, D.S.; Bourassa, M.A.
	Title	Connectivity of the Apalachicola River flow variability and the physical and bio-optical oceanic properties of the northern West Florida Shelf			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2009	Publication	Continental Shelf Research	Abbreviated Journal	Continental Shelf Research
	Volume	29	Issue	9	Pages	1264-1275
	Keywords	River plumes; Climate variability; Ocean color; West Florida Shelf; Apalachicola River
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	0278-4343	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding	NASA, OVWST			Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	393
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	Author	Perron, M.; Sura, P.
	Title	Climatology of Non-Gaussian Atmospheric Statistics			Type	$loc['typeJournal Article']
	Year	2013	Publication	Journal of Climate	Abbreviated Journal	J. Climate
	Volume	26	Issue	3	Pages	1063-1083
	Keywords	Atmospheric circulation; Extreme events; Climate variability; Climatology; Statistics; Time series
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	0894-8755	ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Funding				Approved	$loc['no']
	Call Number	COAPS @ mfield @			Serial	225
Permanent link to this record