Misra, V., & Li, H. (2014). The seasonal predictability of the Asian summer monsoon in a two-tiered forecast system.
Clim Dyn, 42(9-10), 2491–2507.
Misra, V., Bhardwaj, A., & Mishra, A. (2018). Local onset and demise of the Indian summer monsoon.
Climate Dynamics, 51(5-6), 1609–1622.
Abstract: This paper introduces an objective definition of local onset and demise of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) at the native grid of the Indian Meteorological Department's rainfall analysis based on more than 100 years of rain gauge observations. The variability of the local onset/demise of the ISM is shown to be closely associated with the All India averaged rainfall onset/demise. This association is consistent with the corresponding evolution of the slow large-scale reversals of upper air and ocean variables that raise the hope of predictability of local onset and demise of the ISM. The local onset/demise of the ISM also show robust internannual variations associated with El Nino and the Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean dipole mode. It is also shown that the early monsoon rains over northeast India has a predictive potential for the following seasonal anomalies of rainfall and seasonal length of the monsoon over rest of India.
Misra, V., Li, H., Wu, Z., & DiNapoli, S. (2014). Global seasonal climate predictability in a two tiered forecast system: part I: boreal summer and fall seasons.
Clim Dyn, 42(5-6), 1425–1448.
Misra, V., Pantina, P., C. Chan, S., & DiNapoli, S. (2012). A comparative study of the Indian summer monsoon hydroclimate and its variations in three reanalyses.
Clim Dyn, 39(5), 1149–1168.
Misra, V., Stroman, A., & DiNapoli, S. (2013). The rendition of the Atlantic Warm Pool in the reanalyses.
Clim Dyn, 41(2), 517–532.
Misra, V., Bhardwaj, A., & Mishra, A. (2018). Characterizing the rainy season of Peninsular Florida.
Climate Dynamics, 51(5-6), 2157–2167.
Abstract: Peninsular Florida (PF) has a very distinct wet season that can be objectively defined with onset and demise dates based on daily rainfall. The dramatic onset of rains and its retreat coincides with the seasonal cycle of the regional scale atmospheric and upper ocean circulations and upper ocean heat content of the immediate surrounding ocean. The gradual warming of the Intra-Americas Seas (IAS; includes Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea and parts of northwestern subtropical Atlantic Ocean) with the seasonal evolution of the Loop Current and increased atmospheric heat flux in to the ocean eventually enhance the moisture flux into terrestrial PF around the time of the onset of the Rainy Season of PF (RSPF). Similarly, the RSPF retreats with the cooling of the IAS that coincides with the weakening of the Loop Current and reduction of the upper ocean heat content of the IAS. It is also shown that anomalous onset and demise dates of the RSPF have implications on its seasonal rainfall anomalies.
Oh, J. - H., Kim, B. - M., Kim, K. - Y., Song, H. - J., & Lim, G. - H. (2013). The impact of the diurnal cycle on the MJO over the Maritime Continent: a modeling study assimilating TRMM rain rate into global analysis.
Clim Dyn, 40(3-4), 893–911.
Selman, C., & Misra, V. (2017). The impact of an extreme case of irrigation on the southeastern United States climate.
Clim Dyn, 48(3-4), 1309–1327.
Stefanova, L., Misra, V., Chan, S., Griffin, M., O'Brien, J. J., & Smith III, T. J. (2012). A proxy for high-resolution regional reanalysis for the Southeast United States: assessment of precipitation variability in dynamically downscaled reanalyses.
Clim Dyn, 38(11-12), 2449–2466.
Stefanova, L., Misra, V., O'Brien, J. J., Chassignet, E. P., & Hameed, S. (2012). Hindcast skill and predictability for precipitation and two-meter air temperature anomalies in global circulation models over the Southeast United States.
Clim Dyn, 38(1-2), 161–173.