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Author
Misra, V. ; Mishra, A. ; Bhardwaj, A.
Title
A coupled ocean-atmosphere downscaled climate projection for the peninsular Florida region
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Journal of Marine Systems
Abbreviated Journal
Journal of Marine Systems
Volume
194
Issue
Pages
25-40
Keywords
Climate projection ; Peninsular Florida ; bathymetry ; climate simulation ; future
Abstract
A downscaled projection over the Peninsular Florida (PF) region is conducted with a Regional Climate Model (RCM) at 10 km grid spacing that incorporates interactive coupling between the atmosphere and ocean components of the climate system. This is first such application of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model for climate projection over the PF region. The RCM is shown to display reasonable fidelity in simulating the mean current climate and exhibits higher variability both in the ocean and in the atmosphere than the large-scale global model (Community Climate System Model version 4 [CCSM4]), which is used to drive the RCM. There are several features of the regional climate that RCM displays as an improvement over CCSM4: upper ocean thermal stratification, surface eddy kinetic energy of the ocean, volume flux through the Yucatan Channel, and terrestrial rainfall over PF. The projected mean hydroclimatic change over the period 2041�2060 relative to 1986�2005 over PF shows significant difference between RCM and CCSM4, with the RCM becoming significantly drier and CCSM4 moderately wetter. Furthermore, over the ocean surface, especially over the West Florida Shelf (WFS), RCM displays a wetter and a warmer surface climate compared to the CCSM4 simulation. Our analysis of the model output indicates that improved resolution of ocean bathymetry in the RCM plays a significant role in the response of the projected changes in surface heat flux, clouds, upper ocean circulations and upper ocean stratification, which manifests with some of the largest differences from the CCSM4 projections, especially over the shallower parts of the ocean around PF. This contrast is most apparent between WFS and PF in the RCM simulation, which suggests that a future warm climate would likely produce more rain over WFS at the expense of corresponding reduction over PF, contrary to the absence of any such gradient in the CCSM4 simulation. Furthermore, in the RCM simulation, the warming of the sub-surface ocean in the future climate is owed to the combined influence of excess atmospheric heat flux directed towards the ocean from the atmosphere and the advective heat flux convergence with the relative slowing of the Loop Current in the future climate. The study demonstrates that such RCMs with coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions are necessary to downscale the global climate models to project the surface hydro-climate over regions like PF that have mesoscale features in the ocean, which can influence the terrestrial climate.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0924-7963
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1003
Permanent link to this record
Author
Groenen, D.
Title
The Effects of Climate Change on the Pests and Diseases of Coffee Crops in Mesoamerica
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
Journal of Climatology & Weather Forecasting
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
6
Issue
3
Pages
Keywords
Coffee ; Pests and diseases ; Mesoamerica ; Climate
Abstract
Coffee is an in-demand commodity that is being threatened by climate change. Increasing temperatures and rainfall variability are predicted in the region of Mexico and Central America (Mesoamerica). This region is plagued with pests and diseases that have already caused millions of dollars in damages and losses to the coffee industry.This paper examines three pests that negatively affect coffee plants: the coffee borer beetle, the black twig borer,and nematodes. In addition, this paper examines three diseases that can destroy coffee crops: bacterial blight,coffee berry disease, and coffee leaf rust. This paper will review the literature on how these pests and diseases are predicted to affect coffee crops under climate change models. In general, increased temperatures will increase the spread of pest and disease in coffee crops. Projected decreased rainfall in Honduras and Nicaragua may decrease the spread of pest and disease. However, these are complex issues which still require further study.
Address
Climatol Weather Forecasting
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
English
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
2332-2594
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
964
Permanent link to this record
Author
Morrison, T. ; Dukhovskoy, D. S. ; McClean, J. ; Gille, S. T. ; Chassignet, E.
Title
Causes of the anomalous heat flux onto the Greenland continental shelf
Type
$loc['typeAbstract']
Year
2018
Publication
American Geophysical Union
Abbreviated Journal
AGU
Volume
Fall Meeting
Issue
Pages
Keywords
0726 Ice sheets, CRYOSPHEREDE: 4207 Arctic and Antarctic oceanography, OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERALDE: 4215 Climate and interannual variability, OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERALDE: 4255 Numerical modeling, OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL
Abstract
On the continental shelf around Greenland, warm-salty Atlantic water at depth fills the deep narrow fjords where Greenland's tidewater glaciers terminate. Changes in the quantity or properties of this water mass starting in the mid 1990s is thought to be largely responsible for increased ocean-driven melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Using high-resolution (nominal 0.1-degree) ocean circulation models we cannot accurately resolve small-scale processes on the shelf or within fjords. However, we can assess changes in the flux of heat via Atlantic water onto the continental shelf. To understand the causes of the anomalous heat that has reached the shelf we examine heat content of subtropical gyre water and shifts in the North Atlantic and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillations. We compare changes in heat transport in two eddy permitting simulations: a global 0.1 degree (5-7km around Greenland) resolution coupled hindcast (1970-2009) simulation of the Parallel Ocean Program (POP) and a regional 0.08 degree (3-5km around Greenland) resolution coupled HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) hindcast (1993-2016) simulation. Both models are coupled to the Los Alamos National Laboratory Community Ice CodE version 4 and forced by atmospheric reanalysis fluxes. In both models we look for processes that could explain the increase in heat; processes that are present in both are likely to be robust causes of warming.
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$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1009
Permanent link to this record
Author
Kumar, V. ; Jana, S. ; Bhardwaj, A. ; Deepa, R. ; Sahu, S.K. ; Pradhan, P.K. ; Sirdas, S.A.
Title
Greenhouse Gas Emission, Rainfall and Crop Production Over North-Western India
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
The Open Ecology Journal
Abbreviated Journal
TOECOLJ
Volume
11
Issue
1
Pages
47-61
Keywords
Greenhouse gases, CH4, Climate Variability, Emissions, Crop production, Rainfall.
Abstract
Background: This study is based on datasets acquired from multi sources e.g. rain-gauges, satellite, reanalysis and coupled model for the region of Northwestern India. The influence of rainfall on crop production is obvious and direct. With the climate change and global warming, greenhouse gases are also showing an adverse impact on crop production. Greenhouse gases (e.g. CO2, NO2 and CH4) have shown an increasing trend over Northwestern Indian region. In recent years, rainfall has also shown an increasing trend over Northwestern India, while the production of rice and maize are reducing over the region. From eight selected sites, over Northwestern India, where rice and maize productions have reduced by 40%, with an increase in CO2, NO2 and CH4 gas emission by 5% from 1998 to 2011. Results: The correlation from one year to another between rainfall, gas emission and crop production was not very robust throughout the study period, but seemed to be stronger for some years than others. Conclusion: Such trends and crop yield are attributed to rainfall, greenhouse gas emissions and to the climate variability.
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Publisher
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Summary Language
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Series Editor
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Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1874-2130
ISBN
Medium
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Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1017
Permanent link to this record
Author
Deng, J. ; Wu, Z. ; Zhang, M. ; Huang, N.E. ; Wang, S. ; Qiao, F.
Title
Using Holo-Hilbert spectral analysis to quantify the modulation of Dansgaard-Oeschger events by obliquity
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
Quaternary Science Reviews
Abbreviated Journal
Quaternary Science Reviews
Volume
192
Issue
Pages
282-299
Keywords
Pleistocene ; Paleoclimatology ; Greenland ; Antarctica ; Data treatment ; Data analysis ; Dansgaard-oeschger (DO) events ; Obliquity forcing ; Phase preference ; Holo-hilbert spectral analysis ; Amplitude modulation ; EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION ; GREENLAND ICE-CORE ; NONSTATIONARY TIME-SERIES ; ABRUPT CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LAST GLACIAL PERIOD ; NORTH-ATLANTIC ; MILLENNIAL-SCALE ; RECORDS ; VARIABILITY ; CYCLE
Abstract
Astronomical forcing (obliquity and precession) has been thought to modulate Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events, yet the detailed quantification of such modulations has not been examined. In this study, we apply the novel Holo-Hilbert Spectral Analysis (HHSA) to five polar ice core records, quantifying astronomical forcing's time-varying amplitude modulation of DO events and identifying the preferred obliquity phases for large amplitude modulations. The unique advantages of HHSA over the widely used windowed Fourier spectral analysis for quantifying astronomical forcing's nonlinear modulations of DO events is first demonstrated with a synthetic data that closely resembles DO events recorded in Greenland ice cores (NGRIP, GRIP, and GISP2 cores on GICC05 modelext timescale). The analysis of paleoclimatic proxies show that statistically significantly more frequent DO events, with larger amplitude modulation in the Greenland region, tend to occur in the decreasing phase of obliquity, especially from its mean value to its minimum value. In the eastern Antarctic, although statistically significantly more DO events tend to occur in the decreasing obliquity phase in general, the preferred phase of obliquity for large amplitude modulation on DO events is a segment of the increasing phase near the maximum obliquity, implying that the physical mechanisms of DO events may be different for the two polar regions. Additionally, by using cross-spectrum and magnitude-squared analyses, Greenland DO mode at a timescale of about 1400 years leads the Antarctic DO mode at the same timescale by about 1000 years. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Summary Language
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Series Editor
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Series Issue
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ISSN
0277-3791
ISBN
Medium
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Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
971
Permanent link to this record
Author
Xue, W. ; Xin, X. ; Zhang, J. ; Zhang, W. ; Wu, H. ; Huang, Z. ; Zhang, T. ; Li, H. ; Ding, N. ; Huang H.
Title
Development and Testing of a Multi-model Ensemble Coupling Framework
Type
$loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year
2016
Publication
Development and Evaluation of High Resolution Climate System Models
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
163-208
Keywords
Climate system model ; Ensemble coupling platform ; Atmospheric noise ; Process layout
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Springer
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
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Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
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Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
91
Permanent link to this record
Author
Robinson, W. ; Speich, S. ; Chassignet, E.
Title
Exploring the Interplay Between Ocean Eddies and the Atmosphere
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
Eos
Abbreviated Journal
Eos
Volume
99
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Mesoscale ; Climate ; Variability ; Atmospheric
Abstract
Climate models, for the first time, have sufficient resolution to capture mesoscale ocean eddies and their interactions with the atmosphere.New model results suggest that the atmosphere, at weather scales or larger, responds to cumulative effects of the much smaller ocean eddies. Intriguing new model results presented at the workshop suggested that the atmosphere, at weather scales or larger.
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ISSN
2324-9250
ISBN
Medium
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$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ rl18 @
Serial
988
Permanent link to this record
Author
Kirtman, B. P. ; Misra, V. ; Anandhi, A. ; Palko, D. ; Infanti, J.
Title
Future Climate Change Scenarios for Florida
Type
$loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year
2017
Publication
Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
533-555
Keywords
Anthropogenically forced climate change ; Decadal climate prediction ; Climate projection ; Climate scenario ; Mitigation ; Adaptation
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Florida Climate Institute
Place of Publication
Gainesville, FL
Editor
Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
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$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
851
Permanent link to this record
Author
Kirtman, B. P. ; Misra, V. ; Burgman, R. J. ; Infanti, J. ; Obeysekera, J.
Title
Florida Climate Variability and Prediction
Type
$loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year
2017
Publication
Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
511-532
Keywords
Multi-model ensembles ; Regional climate prediction ; Dynamical downscaling ; Statistical downscaling
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Florida Climate Institute
Place of Publication
Gainesville, FL
Editor
Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language
Summary Language
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Series Editor
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$loc['no']
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COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
850
Permanent link to this record
Author
Conlon, K.C. ; Kintziger, K.W. ; Jagger, M. ; Stefanova, L. ; Uejio, C.K. ; Konrad, C.
Title
Working with Climate Projections to Estimate Disease Burden: Perspectives from Public Health
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2016
Publication
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Abbreviated Journal
Int J Environ Res Public Health
Volume
13
Issue
8
Pages
Keywords
*Climate Change/statistics & numerical data ; Florida ; Forecasting ; Humans ; Models, Theoretical ; Public Health/*trends ; United States ; adaptation ; attributable fraction ; climate modeling ; project disease burden ; public health
Abstract
There is interest among agencies and public health practitioners in the United States (USA) to estimate the future burden of climate-related health outcomes. Calculating disease burden projections can be especially daunting, given the complexities of climate modeling and the multiple pathways by which climate influences public health. Interdisciplinary coordination between public health practitioners and climate scientists is necessary for scientifically derived estimates. We describe a unique partnership of state and regional climate scientists and public health practitioners assembled by the Florida Building Resilience Against Climate Effects (BRACE) program. We provide a background on climate modeling and projections that has been developed specifically for public health practitioners, describe methodologies for combining climate and health data to project disease burden, and demonstrate three examples of this process used in Florida.
Address
Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3220, USA. konrad@unc.edu
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Thesis
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Place of Publication
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Language
English
Summary Language
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Series Editor
Series Title
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Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1660-4601
ISBN
Medium
Area
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Conference
Funding
PMID:27517942; PMCID:PMC4997490
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
73
Permanent link to this record